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Violent Crime Trends in Bunn: Small Town's Remarkable Safety Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bunn, North Carolina, is a small community that has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2011 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city varied, reaching a peak of 3 incidents in 2020 before dropping to zero in 2021 and 2022. This represents a 100% decrease in violent crime over the period. Concurrently, the population grew from 5,111 in 2011 to 4,677 in 2022, a decrease of 8.5%.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently low, with only one incident reported in 2020. This single occurrence represented 0.19% of the state's total murders that year. The murder rate per 1,000 people spiked to 0.24 in 2020, a significant increase from the zero incidents in previous years. However, it returned to zero in 2021 and 2022, indicating that this was an isolated event rather than a trend.
Rape cases in the city have been sporadic, with only two incidents reported in 2020, representing 0.13% of the state's total. The rape rate per 1,000 people was 0.48 in 2020, up from zero in previous years. Like murder, rape cases returned to zero in 2021 and 2022, suggesting that 2020 was an anomalous year for violent crime in the city.
Robbery trends have remained relatively stable and low. Only one incident was reported in 2012 and another in 2015, each representing 0.01% and 0.02% of the state's total robberies, respectively. The robbery rate per 1,000 people was 0.20 in 2012 and 0.24 in 2015. No robberies were reported in other years, indicating that this type of crime is not a persistent issue in the community.
Aggravated assault has been the most common form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents fluctuated between 0 and 2 cases per year from 2011 to 2019. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people reached its highest point of 0.44 in 2013 and 2014 when there were 2 incidents each year. The percentage of state total for aggravated assaults ranged from 0% to 0.02% during this period, indicating that the city's contribution to state-wide aggravated assault numbers is minimal.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 9,471 per square mile in 2011 to 7,993 per square mile in 2021, there was a general trend of decreasing violent crime incidents. The spike in violent crime in 2020 coincided with a slight increase in population density to 7,797 per square mile, suggesting that population concentration may influence crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it is anticipated that the city will maintain its recent low crime rates. The consistent zero violent crime incidents in 2021 and 2022 suggest a positive trend that is likely to continue, barring any significant changes in socio-economic factors or population dynamics.
In summary, Bunn has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its violent crime statistics, with the most recent data showing zero incidents across all categories. The isolated spike in 2020 appears to be an anomaly rather than indicative of a long-term trend. The city's small size and decreasing population density may contribute to its ability to maintain low crime rates. As the community moves forward, these trends suggest a positive outlook for public safety in Bunn.
