Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bunker Hill, located in Illinois, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. With a population of 3,279 in 2022, this small urban area has experienced notable fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2019, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 100%, from 15 to 0 incidents. During this same period, the population declined by 10.1%, from 3,828 to 3,440 residents.
The city has reported no murders or non-negligent manslaughters throughout the recorded period from 2010 to 2019. This consistent absence of homicides, despite population changes, indicates a stable environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at zero, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic and infrequent. In 2015, there was one reported case of rape, which constituted 0.03% of the state's total rape cases for that year. This single incident resulted in a rate of 0.27 rapes per 1,000 people. In all other recorded years, there were no reported rapes, maintaining a rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of the state's total.
Similarly, robbery has been nonexistent in the city throughout the recorded period. From 2010 to 2019, there were no reported robberies, keeping the robbery rate at 0 per 1,000 people and contributing 0% to the state's robbery statistics. This consistent absence of robberies suggests a relatively safe environment for personal property.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city, though showing a significant downward trend. In 2010, there were 15 aggravated assaults, representing 0.06% of the state's total. This equated to a rate of 3.92 assaults per 1,000 people. By 2019, the number had dropped to zero, a 100% decrease. The most notable fluctuation occurred between 2015 and 2017, with cases rising from 2 to 4 before declining again. The percentage of state total for aggravated assaults peaked at 0.06% in 2010 and dropped to 0% by 2019.
When examining correlations, a strong inverse relationship is observed between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,987 per square mile in 2010 to 2,684 per square mile in 2019, the total violent crimes also decreased from 15 to 0. This suggests that the reduction in population density may have contributed to the decline in violent crime.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's projected that the city will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. The consistent absence of murders, robberies, and the significant decrease in aggravated assaults point towards a continued low incidence of violent crimes.
In summary, Bunker Hill has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its violent crime statistics over the past decade. The complete elimination of reported violent crimes by 2019, coupled with a gradual population decrease, suggests a trend towards a safer community. These findings highlight the city's potential as a model for small urban areas in effectively reducing and maintaining low violent crime rates.