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Violent Crime Trends in Brooksville, Florida: A Study of Demographic Shifts and Safety
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Brooksville, Florida, a small city with a population of 8,617 in 2022, has experienced notable shifts in its violent crime landscape over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 17.4%, from 69 to 57 incidents. During this same period, the population grew by 4.6%, from 8,240 to 8,617 residents, suggesting a relative improvement in public safety despite population growth.
The murder rate in Brooksville has remained exceptionally low, with only one year (2014) reporting any murders (4 cases). This singular event resulted in a 0.7% share of the state's murders for that year. However, given the rarity of this occurrence and the absence of murders in all other reported years, it's difficult to establish a meaningful trend. The murder rate per 1,000 people spiked to 0.50 in 2014 but has been zero in all other years, indicating that murder is not a persistent issue in the city.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, with a general upward trend. In 2010, there were 3 reported cases (0.36 per 1,000 people), which increased to 3 cases in 2022 (0.35 per 1,000 people). The percentage of state rape cases attributable to Brooksville rose from 0.11% in 2010 to 0.18% in 2022, suggesting a slight increase in the city's contribution to state-wide rape statistics. The peak was in 2019 with 8 cases (1.01 per 1,000 people), representing 0.19% of state cases.
Robbery trends show a decrease over time. In 2010, there were 11 robberies (1.33 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 8 in 2022 (0.93 per 1,000 people). However, the city's share of state robberies increased from 0.06% to 0.28% during this period, indicating that while local numbers decreased, they did not fall as rapidly as state-wide figures. The peak was in 2012 with 22 robberies (2.68 per 1,000 people), representing 0.14% of state cases.
Aggravated assault cases have seen a slight decrease. In 2010, there were 55 cases (6.67 per 1,000 people), which decreased to 46 in 2022 (5.34 per 1,000 people). However, the city's share of state aggravated assaults increased significantly from 0.15% to 0.35%, suggesting that while local numbers decreased slightly, they did not fall as rapidly as state-wide figures. The highest number was in 2013 with 55 cases (6.89 per 1,000 people), representing 0.17% of state cases.
There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As population density increased from 736 per square mile in 2010 to 770 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased, suggesting that the city has managed to improve safety despite becoming more densely populated. Additionally, there's a noticeable correlation between the changing racial demographics and crime trends. As the white population percentage decreased slightly from 81% in 2018 to 76% in 2022, and the Hispanic population increased from 4% to 10%, there was a corresponding slight increase in violent crimes from 50 in 2019 to 57 in 2022.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's forecasted that by 2029, Brooksville may see a slight increase in violent crimes to approximately 62 incidents per year. This prediction assumes continued population growth and demographic shifts following current patterns.
In summary, Brooksville has shown resilience in managing violent crime despite population growth. The city has maintained a very low murder rate, seen fluctuations in rape cases, experienced a decrease in robberies, and a slight decrease in aggravated assaults. However, the city's share of state-wide crime percentages has increased in several categories, suggesting that while local improvements have been made, they have not kept pace with state-wide reductions. The relationship between demographic changes and crime rates warrants continued attention as the city evolves.
