Robbery data for Bridgeport shows a consistent pattern of zero reported cases throughout the observed years. This absence of robberies suggests that property-related violent crimes are not a significant issue in the city. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state robberies attributed to Bridgeport have remained at zero.

Aggravated assault has been the primary contributor to violent crime in Bridgeport. In 2010, there was one case of aggravated assault, representing 0.02% of the state's total. This number increased significantly to 20 cases in 2012, accounting for 0.19% of Alabama's aggravated assaults. The trend then showed a general decline, with 12 cases in 2015 (0.1% of state total), 9 cases in 2016 (0.08%), and 8 cases in 2022 (0.07%). The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people peaked at 6.09 in 2012 and decreased to 2.39 per 1,000 in 2022.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density fluctuated between 707 and 795 people per square mile from 2010 to 2022, violent crime rates generally followed a similar pattern, though not perfectly aligned. The racial composition of the city has remained predominantly white, with the percentage ranging from 82% to 87% during the observed period. This stability in racial demographics suggests that changes in violent crime rates are likely influenced by other factors.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), Bridgeport may see a slight decrease in overall violent crime rates if current trends continue. The aggravated assault cases, which make up the majority of violent crimes in the city, are expected to stabilize around 7-9 cases per year. Rape incidents are likely to remain low, potentially fluctuating between 0-2 cases annually. Robberies and murders are predicted to remain at or near zero, consistent with historical patterns.

In summary, Bridgeport has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates, primarily driven by changes in aggravated assault cases. The absence of murders and robberies, combined with low rape incidence, paints a picture of a relatively safe small city. However, the variations in aggravated assault rates suggest a need for continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies. As Bridgeport moves forward, maintaining its low crime rates while addressing the underlying causes of aggravated assaults will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.