Loading Content...
Violent Crime Trends in Brandon, Mississippi: A Growing City with Zero Murders
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Brandon, located in Mississippi, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, with the number ranging from a low of 6 in 2012 to a high of 30 in 2018. Over this period, the population grew from 26,028 in 2010 to 29,506 in 2022, representing a 13.4% increase.
The murder rate in the city has remained remarkably low, with only one recorded incident in 2011, representing 0.73% of the state's murders that year. In all other years from 2010 to 2022, there were no reported murders. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people for most years, with a brief spike to 0.038 per 1,000 in 2011. The consistency of zero murders in recent years suggests effective crime prevention strategies or a generally safe community environment.
Rape incidents have shown more variability. The number of reported rapes increased from 1 in 2010 to 9 in 2022, with a significant spike to 14 in 2020. The rape rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.038 in 2010 to 0.305 in 2022, peaking at 0.487 per 1,000 in 2020. The city's percentage of state rape cases also increased dramatically, from 0.21% in 2010 to 3.41% in 2022, with a notable peak of 6.25% in 2020. This trend suggests a growing concern that requires attention from law enforcement and community leaders.
Robbery incidents have remained relatively stable, fluctuating between 2 and 7 cases annually. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has slightly decreased from 0.230 in 2010 to 0.102 in 2022, despite a peak of 0.269 in 2011. The city's share of state robberies has shown some increase, from 0.28% in 2010 to 1.1% in 2022, indicating that while local numbers remain low, they represent a growing proportion of state totals.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of incidents increased from 8 in 2010 to 17 in 2022, with a peak of 23 in 2017. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.307 in 2010 to 0.576 in 2022, reaching a high of 0.804 in 2017. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults grew from 0.39% in 2010 to 1.04% in 2022, peaking at 1.27% in 2017. This trend suggests an increasing challenge in addressing violent confrontations within the community.
A notable correlation exists between the increase in violent crimes and population growth. As the population density increased from 1,014 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,149 in 2022, there was a general upward trend in violent crime incidents. This suggests that the growing urbanization may be contributing to higher crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on these trends, it's forecasted that by 2029, the city may see a continued moderate increase in violent crimes, particularly in aggravated assaults and rapes. The total number of violent crimes could potentially reach around 35-40 annually if current trends persist. However, the murder rate is expected to remain very low or at zero.
In summary, Brandon has experienced a complex evolution in its violent crime landscape from 2010 to 2022. While maintaining an admirably low murder rate, the city has seen concerning increases in rapes and aggravated assaults. The growth in population and density appears to correlate with these rising crime rates. Moving forward, focused efforts on rape prevention and assault reduction will be crucial for maintaining community safety as the city continues to grow.
