Robbery statistics for Bourbon have remained consistently low. From 2011 to 2022, there were no reported robberies in the city. This translates to a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and a 0% contribution to the state's robbery figures. The absence of robberies over this period suggests that property-related violent crime is not a significant issue in the city.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults peaked at 11 in 2011 and 2015, representing 0.08% and 0.07% of the state's total, respectively. By 2022, this number had decreased to 1 incident, or 0.01% of the state's total. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people was highest in 2011 at approximately 3.95 and dropped to about 0.36 per 1,000 in 2022. This significant decrease in aggravated assaults over the years suggests an overall improvement in public safety.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a weak inverse correlation between median rent and violent crime rates. As median rent increased from $567 in 2015 to $955 in 2022, the number of violent crimes generally decreased. Additionally, the city has maintained a predominantly white population, with the percentage decreasing slightly from 98% in 2013 to 86% in 2022, while violent crime rates have fluctuated without a clear correlation to this demographic shift.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization of violent crime rates at low levels. Based on the recent downward trend, particularly the sharp decrease from 9 incidents in 2020 to 1 in 2022, it's projected that the city may continue to experience low violent crime rates, potentially averaging 1-3 incidents per year. However, given the city's small population, even minor fluctuations can appear as significant percentage changes.

In summary, Bourbon has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. The complete absence of murders and robberies, combined with decreasing rates of rape and aggravated assault, paints a picture of a community that has become safer over time. While year-to-year fluctuations exist, the overall trajectory suggests improving public safety. The city's small size means that individual incidents can have a large impact on crime rates, but the general trend towards lower violent crime rates is a positive indicator for the community's future.