Robbery rates in the city have remained consistently low. The data shows only four years with reported robberies: 2010, 2012, 2014, and 2017, each with just one incident. This translates to a robbery rate of approximately 0.11 per 1,000 people in those years. The percentage of state robberies attributed to the city never exceeded 0.02%, indicating that robbery is not a significant concern relative to state-wide figures.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 2 in 2015 to a high of 14 in 2016. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people varied from 0.22 in 2015 to 1.53 in 2016. The city's contribution to state-wide aggravated assault cases fluctuated between 0.01% and 0.08%, with 2016 showing the highest percentage. This suggests that while aggravated assault is more common than other violent crimes in the city, it still represents a small fraction of state-wide incidents.

When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak relationship between population density and violent crime rates. For instance, in 2011, when the population density peaked at 2,738 people per square mile, the violent crime count was 11. Conversely, in 2017, with a lower density of 2,211 people per square mile, there were only 5 violent crimes. This suggests that factors other than population density may have a more significant influence on crime rates in the city.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential stabilization of violent crime rates. Based on the historical data, which shows fluctuations without a clear long-term trend, it's projected that the annual number of violent crimes may continue to vary between 5 and 12 incidents per year. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously due to the small sample size and the sporadic nature of violent crime in smaller communities.

In summary, Bonne Terre has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent issue. The city's contribution to state-wide violent crime statistics remains minimal across all categories. While there have been occasional spikes in certain types of violent crime, the overall trend does not indicate a persistent increase. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite population fluctuations suggests effective local law enforcement strategies or strong community cohesion. Moving forward, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial in maintaining and potentially improving the city's safety profile.