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Violent Crime Trends in Bokchito, Oklahoma: A Small Town's Changing Safety Profile
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Bokchito, a small town in Oklahoma, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends within a diminishing community. From 2019 to 2022, the town experienced a 50% decrease in total violent crimes, with numbers fluctuating from 4 in 2019 to 0 in 2020, and then stabilizing at 2 in both 2021 and 2022. This trend occurred against a backdrop of significant population decline, with the town's population decreasing by approximately 20.2% from 756 in 2019 to 603 in 2022.
Throughout the entire period from 2019 to 2022, Bokchito reported no murders, maintaining a consistent murder rate of 0 per 1,000 people. This absence of homicides is particularly noteworthy given the population decline, suggesting that the town has preserved a safe environment in terms of the most severe violent crime.
Rape incidents in Bokchito showed a marked improvement over time. In 2019, there was 1 reported rape, accounting for 0.05% of the state's total. However, from 2020 to 2022, no rapes were reported, representing a 100% decrease in rape cases. The rape rate per 1,000 people dropped from approximately 1.32 in 2019 to 0 in subsequent years, indicating a significant enhancement in this aspect of public safety.
Robbery incidents in Bokchito remained consistently at 0 from 2019 to 2022, mirroring the trend observed in murder rates. The robbery rate per 1,000 people and the percentage of state crime for robbery both remained at 0% throughout the period, indicating a persistently safe environment in terms of this particular crime category.
Aggravated assault trends in Bokchito showed some fluctuation. In 2019, there were 3 cases, representing 0.03% of the state's total. This number dropped to 0 in 2020 but then increased to 2 cases in both 2021 and 2022, accounting for 0.02% of the state's total in each of those years. The rate per 1,000 people changed from approximately 3.97 in 2019 to 0 in 2020, then to 3.48 in 2021 and 3.32 in 2022. Despite the slight increase from 2020, the overall trend shows a decrease in aggravated assaults relative to the population.
A correlation appears to exist between population density and violent crime rates in Bokchito. As the population density decreased from 1,105 per square mile in 2019 to 882 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes also decreased. This suggests that lower population density might contribute to reduced violent crime rates in the town.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends, it is estimated that by 2029, Bokchito may see a slight increase in violent crimes to approximately 3 incidents per year, assuming current trends continue. This projection takes into account the historical fluctuations and the gradual stabilization of crime rates observed in recent years.
In summary, Bokchito has experienced an overall decrease in violent crimes from 2019 to 2022, with notable improvements in rape statistics and a consistent absence of murders and robberies. The most significant changes were observed in aggravated assaults, which, after an initial decrease, showed a slight resurgence but remained below 2019 levels. These trends, coupled with the declining population, suggest that Bokchito has maintained and even improved its safety profile over the years, positioning itself as a relatively secure small town in Oklahoma.
