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Violent Crime Trends in Blanco, Texas: A Decade of Stability Amid Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Blanco, Texas, a small urban area with a population of 6,320 as of 2022, has experienced notable changes in both its violent crime rates and population over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 7 to 9, representing a 28.57% increase. During the same period, the population grew from 4,971 to 6,320, a 27.14% increase.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently low, with only one reported case in 2016. This single incident represented 0.09% of the state's murders that year. The murder rate per 1,000 people was 0.19 in 2016, dropping to 0 in subsequent years. Given the small population, even a single incident can significantly impact the city's crime statistics.
Rape cases in the city have been infrequent, with only three reported incidents over the 13-year period: one in 2020 and two in 2022. In 2020, the rape rate was 0.17 per 1,000 people, increasing to 0.32 per 1,000 in 2022. The city's contribution to the state's total rape cases was 0.01% in 2020 and 0.02% in 2022, indicating a slight increase in the city's share of state rape cases.
Robbery trends show fluctuations over the years. The city experienced no robberies from 2010 to 2012, then one case in 2013, followed by no cases until 2016 when another incident occurred. In 2021, there was a spike with two robbery cases, representing 0.01% of the state's robberies. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.33 in 2021 but dropped to 0 in 2022.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The number of cases fluctuated between 2 and 10 over the years, with the highest count of 10 occurring in 2011. In 2022, there were 7 aggravated assault cases, resulting in a rate of 1.11 per 1,000 people. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault cases has remained relatively consistent, ranging from 0.01% to 0.02% throughout the period.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population growth and the overall number of violent crimes. As the population increased from 4,971 in 2010 to 6,320 in 2022, the total violent crimes rose from 7 to 9. However, the relationship is not perfectly linear, as there were fluctuations in crime rates that did not directly correspond to population changes.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029, Blanco may see a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching 11-12 total incidents per year. This projection assumes a continuation of the current population growth rate and crime trends.
In summary, Blanco has experienced a moderate increase in violent crimes over the past decade, largely driven by fluctuations in aggravated assault cases. While the overall crime rate has increased, it's important to note that the small population means even minor changes in incident numbers can significantly affect statistical representations. The city's contribution to state crime rates remains minimal across all categories of violent crime, reflecting its relatively small size and generally low crime incidence.
