Robbery trends show more variation, with incidents ranging from 0 to 7 per year. The highest number of robberies (7) occurred in 2019, resulting in a rate of 1.47 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state robberies peaked at 0.18% that same year. However, by 2022, robberies had decreased to 1 incident, or 0.17 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.03% of state robberies. This suggests an overall improvement in robbery rates relative to population growth.

Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in the city, with incidents ranging from 1 to 9 per year. The peak occurred in 2021 with 9 cases, resulting in a rate of 1.59 per 1,000 residents. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults reached its highest at 0.04% in 2019 and 2021. By 2022, there were 2 aggravated assaults, or 0.34 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.01% of state cases. This indicates a recent decrease in aggravated assaults relative to population growth.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between the city's changing demographics and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage increased from 54% in 2013 to 69% in 2022, violent crime rates generally decreased. Concurrently, the black population percentage decreased from 41% to 18%. The Asian population saw a notable increase from 2% to 7% during this period. These demographic shifts coincided with a general downward trend in violent crime rates per capita, suggesting a possible correlation between changing racial composition and crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued decline in violent crime rates per capita if current demographic and economic trends persist. The model suggests that by 2029, the total number of violent crimes may stabilize at around 5-7 incidents per year, despite projected population growth. This would result in a violent crime rate of approximately 0.8-1.0 per 1,000 residents, lower than the 2022 rate.

In summary, Berry Hill has experienced a general decrease in violent crime rates relative to its growing population over the past decade. The most significant changes have been observed in robbery and aggravated assault rates, while murder and rape incidents have remained consistently low. The correlation between demographic changes and crime rates suggests that ongoing shifts in the city's racial composition may continue to influence crime trends. As the city continues to grow and evolve, maintaining these positive trends will likely require ongoing community engagement and targeted crime prevention strategies.