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Violent Crime Trends in Benld, Illinois: A Small City's Struggle with Aggravated Assault
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Benld, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2012 to 2015, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, ranging from a high of 5 in 2014 to a low of 0 in 2013. During this same period, the population showed a slight overall decrease, moving from 1,597 in 2012 to 1,525 in 2015, representing a 4.5% decline.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city maintained a consistent record of zero incidents from 2012 to 2015. This stability in the absence of such serious crimes is noteworthy, especially considering the population changes. The rate per 1,000 people remained at 0 throughout this period, and the percentage of state crime for this category was consistently 0.0%.
Similarly, rape incidents were reported as 0 in 2012, 2014, and 2015, with no data available for 2013. This translates to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people for the years with available data. The percentage of state crime for rape was also consistently 0.0%, indicating that the city did not contribute to the state's rape statistics during this period.
Robbery trends in the city mirrored those of murder and rape, with zero incidents reported from 2012 to 2015. This consistency resulted in a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and a 0.0% contribution to the state's robbery statistics throughout the observed period.
Aggravated assault showed the most variation among violent crimes in the city. In 2012, there was 1 incident, which decreased to 0 in 2013, then sharply increased to 5 in 2014, before declining to 3 in 2015. This translates to rates per 1,000 people of 0.63 in 2012, 0 in 2013, 3.07 in 2014, and 1.97 in 2015. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics fluctuated accordingly, from 0% in 2012 and 2013 to 0.02% in 2014 and 0.01% in 2015.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other demographic factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. The spike in aggravated assaults in 2014 coincided with the highest population density of 1,535 people per square mile during the observed period. Conversely, the year with no violent crimes (2013) had a slightly lower density of 1,536 people per square mile. This suggests a potential, albeit inconsistent, correlation between population density and aggravated assaults in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029), we can anticipate that aggravated assault will likely remain the primary concern for violent crime in the city. Based on the historical data, we might expect to see fluctuations in the number of incidents, potentially ranging from 0 to 5 per year. However, given the small population and low overall crime rates, these numbers could be subject to significant variation based on individual events.
In summary, Benld demonstrates a relatively low and inconsistent pattern of violent crime, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent issue. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal across all categories of violent crime. The relationship between population density and aggravated assaults warrants further observation, as it may provide insights into future crime prevention strategies for this small Illinois community.
