Robbery trends in the city follow the same pattern as murder and rape, with zero reported incidents from 2010 to 2021. The absence of robberies throughout this period suggests that property-related violent crimes have not been a significant concern for the residents of Bellflower. This consistent trend holds true regardless of the population fluctuations observed during the same timeframe.

Aggravated assault has been the only form of violent crime reported in Bellflower during the period under review. The city experienced one incident each in 2011 and 2012, representing 0.01% of the state's total aggravated assaults for those years. After several years of no reported assaults, there was a spike in 2021 with 4 incidents, accounting for 0.02% of the state's total. This increase is significant, especially considering the city's small population. The rate per 1,000 people jumped from 1.69 in 2011 (based on a population of 590) to 8.16 in 2021 (based on a population of 490), indicating a substantial rise in the assault rate relative to the population.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak positive correlation between population density and aggravated assault incidents. The years with reported assaults (2011, 2012, and 2021) coincide with periods of higher population density. However, this correlation is not strong enough to definitively link population density to violent crime rates. There doesn't seem to be a significant correlation between violent crime and median rent or racial distribution, as the city has remained predominantly white throughout the period, with minimal changes in racial composition.

Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, it's challenging to forecast with high accuracy. However, if we consider the recent spike in aggravated assaults as an anomaly rather than a new trend, we might expect the violent crime rate to return to lower levels, possibly averaging 1-2 incidents per year by 2029 (five years from now). This prediction assumes that the underlying factors contributing to the city's generally low crime rate remain stable.

In summary, Bellflower has maintained a remarkably low violent crime rate across most categories, with aggravated assault being the only reported form of violent crime. The recent spike in assaults in 2021 stands out as an anomaly in an otherwise consistently low-crime environment. While this increase warrants attention, the overall trend suggests that Bellflower remains a relatively safe community with infrequent occurrences of violent crime.