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Violent Crime Trends in Barry, Illinois: A Small City's Steady Safety Record
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Barry, Illinois, a small community with a population of 1,541 as of 2022, has experienced fluctuations in violent crime rates over the years, alongside modest population changes. Between 2012 and 2019, the total number of violent crimes varied from 0 to 3 incidents per year, while the population decreased by 11.7% from 1,548 to 1,552 residents.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently at zero from 2012 to 2019, with no reported cases of murder or nonnegligent manslaughter. This stability in the absence of murders is noteworthy, especially considering the population changes. The city's contribution to the state's murder statistics has consequently remained at 0% throughout this period, indicating a positive aspect of public safety in the community.
Rape incidents in the city have been sporadic. In 2012, there was one reported case, representing 0.06% of the state's total. This equated to a rate of 0.65 per 1,000 residents. The city then saw no reported rapes from 2015 to 2018. In 2019, another single case was reported, accounting for 0.02% of the state's total, with a rate of 0.64 per 1,000 residents. This indicates a relatively stable, low incidence of rape, with minimal impact on state-wide statistics.
Robbery trends show similar infrequency. One case was reported in 2012, representing 0.01% of the state's total, with a rate of 0.65 per 1,000 residents. No robberies were reported from 2015 to 2018. In 2019, another single case occurred, again accounting for 0.01% of the state's total, with a rate of 0.64 per 1,000 residents. This suggests that robbery remains an uncommon crime in the city, with minimal fluctuation over time.
Aggravated assault shows the most variation among violent crimes in the city. No cases were reported in 2012 and 2015. However, in 2016, there were 3 reported cases, representing 0.01% of the state's total and a rate of 2.08 per 1,000 residents. The years 2017, 2018, and 2019 saw no reported cases. This spike in 2016 stands out as an anomaly in an otherwise low-crime environment for aggravated assaults.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,080 per square mile in 2012 to 1,083 in 2019, there was a slight increase in overall violent crime incidents from 2 to 2. However, the relationship is not strong enough to draw definitive conclusions.
Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, it's projected that the city will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. The sporadic nature of violent crimes in the city suggests that annual incidents may continue to fluctuate between 0 and 3 cases per year, with the possibility of occasional spikes similar to the aggravated assaults in 2016.
In summary, Barry demonstrates a relatively safe environment with infrequent violent crimes. The most significant discovery is the consistent absence of murders and the generally low rates of other violent crimes. While there have been occasional incidents, particularly in rape, robbery, and aggravated assault, these remain rare occurrences. The city's contribution to state-wide crime statistics is minimal, reflecting its small size and generally peaceful nature. Moving forward, maintaining vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies will be crucial in preserving the city's overall safety record.
