Robbery trends in Bangs show a consistently low occurrence rate. Throughout the period from 2010 to 2022, there were no reported robberies. This translates to a robbery rate of 0 per 1,000 people and 0% of state robbery crimes across all years. The absence of robberies, even as the population decreased, suggests effective crime prevention strategies or social factors contributing to a low-crime environment for this particular offense.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of incidents varied significantly, from a high of 9 in 2017 to lows of 0 in 2013, 2018, and 2019. In 2022, there were 3 aggravated assaults reported. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, peaking at 3.22 in 2017 and settling at 1.06 in 2022. The percentage of state aggravated assaults reached its highest at 0.02% in 2017 but has generally remained low, at 0% for most years, including 2022.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 2,178 per square mile in 2010 to 1,884 in 2022, violent crime rates showed some fluctuation but no consistent trend. The racial distribution data shows a slight decrease in the white population from 80% in 2013 to 75% in 2022, with a corresponding increase in Hispanic residents from 18% to 21% between 2013 and 2020, before decreasing to 16% in 2022. However, these demographic shifts do not show a strong correlation with violent crime trends.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's challenging to forecast with high confidence due to the significant year-to-year variations in crime rates. However, if current trends continue, we might expect the violent crime rate to remain relatively low, with potential fluctuations between 0 and 5 incidents annually over the next five years (up to 2029). The sporadic nature of violent crimes in Bangs suggests that individual incidents can have a significant impact on yearly statistics.

In summary, Bangs has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate despite population decline. The most significant trend is the fluctuation in aggravated assaults, which constitute the majority of violent crimes in the city. The absence of murders and robberies over the entire period is a positive indicator of public safety. While occasional incidents of rape have occurred, they remain infrequent. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates despite demographic changes suggests effective law enforcement and community-based crime prevention strategies. Moving forward, continued focus on preventing aggravated assaults and maintaining the low rates of other violent crimes will be crucial for Bangs's public safety efforts.