Rape incidents in Ball Ground have been rare, with only one reported case in 2012. This single incident represented 0.12% of the state's total rape cases for that year. In all other years, including 2022, there were no reported rapes, translating to a rate of 0 per 1,000 people. The absence of rape cases in recent years, despite population growth, suggests effective crime prevention or reporting practices.

Robbery trends in the city show minimal occurrence, with only two reported incidents over the 13-year period. There was one robbery in 2010 and another in 2011, each representing 0.02% of the state's total robberies for those respective years. Since 2012, there have been no reported robberies, maintaining a rate of 0 per 1,000 people. This trend indicates a significant improvement in public safety regarding robbery crimes.

Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Ball Ground, though still occurring at low rates. There were single incidents reported in 2010, 2012, and 2013, each representing 0.01% of the state's total aggravated assaults. The most recent incident was in 2021, with one case reported. In 2022, there were no aggravated assaults, showing a return to zero incidents. The rate of aggravated assault per 1,000 people has decreased over time due to population growth and the infrequency of incidents.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 584 people per square mile in 2010 to 1,009 in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest causation.

The racial composition of Ball Ground has remained predominantly white throughout the period, with the white population consistently above 93%. This demographic stability does not show a strong correlation with the fluctuations in violent crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the low and decreasing crime rates observed, it is projected that Ball Ground will likely maintain very low violent crime rates. The model suggests a potential for 0 to 1 violent crimes per year, with a possibility of occasional years with no reported violent crimes.

In summary, Ball Ground has demonstrated a remarkably low and decreasing trend in violent crimes over the past decade, despite significant population growth. The city has maintained zero incidents in several categories of violent crime for multiple years, including the most recent year of data. This trend positions Ball Ground as a relatively safe community with effective crime prevention strategies. The consistent low crime rates, particularly in the context of rapid population growth, suggest that the city has been successful in maintaining public safety while expanding its residential base.