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Violent Crime Trends in Atlantic Beach: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Atlantic Beach, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. Over the years from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in both its total violent crime incidents and population. The total number of violent crimes decreased from 19 in 2010 to 2 in 2022, marking an 89.5% reduction. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, with 1,919 residents in 2010 and 1,807 in 2022, a slight decrease of 5.8%.
The murder rate in Atlantic Beach has been consistently low, with zero incidents reported from 2010 to 2021. However, in 2022, there was one murder case, marking a significant change. This single incident resulted in a murder rate of 0.55 per 1,000 residents in 2022, up from zero in previous years. Despite this increase, the city's murder rate remained low compared to many other urban areas. The percentage of state murders attributed to Atlantic Beach jumped from 0% to 0.17% in 2022, indicating a rare occurrence in the context of the city's history.
Rape incidents in the city have fluctuated over the years. In 2010, there were 2 reported cases, representing 0.18% of the state's total. The number peaked at 4 cases (0.34% of state total) in 2011, then decreased to 1 case (0.05% of state total) in 2021, before dropping to zero in 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.04 in 2010 to 0 in 2022, showing an overall downward trend despite some fluctuations.
Robbery incidents in Atlantic Beach have shown a general decline. In 2010, there were 6 robberies (0.08% of state total), which decreased to 1 robbery (0.02% of state total) by 2016. From 2020 to 2022, no robberies were reported. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents fell from 3.13 in 2010 to 0 in 2022, indicating a significant improvement in this aspect of public safety.
Aggravated assault cases have also seen an overall decrease, though with some fluctuations. In 2010, there were 11 cases (0.08% of state total), which peaked at 13 cases (0.1% of state total) in 2011 and 2013. By 2022, this number had decreased to 1 case (0% of state total). The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 5.73 in 2010 to 0.55 in 2022, representing a substantial improvement in violent crime rates.
There appears to be a correlation between the city's racial composition and violent crime trends. As the white population percentage increased from 91% in 2013 to 96% in 2021, violent crime rates generally decreased. Additionally, the median rent showed some correlation with crime rates, with higher rents in the mid-2010s corresponding to lower crime rates. However, this correlation weakened in recent years as rents decreased while crime rates remained low.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), it's anticipated that Atlantic Beach will maintain its low violent crime rates. The single murder in 2022 is likely an anomaly rather than the start of a trend. Rape and robbery incidents are expected to remain at or near zero, while aggravated assaults may fluctuate between 0-2 cases per year.
In summary, Atlantic Beach has shown a remarkable improvement in its violent crime statistics from 2010 to 2022. The significant reductions in all categories of violent crime, coupled with a stable population, suggest effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. While the single murder in 2022 stands out, the overall trend indicates a safer community with consistently low violent crime rates. These improvements position Atlantic Beach as a relatively safe place to live and visit, with positive implications for its reputation and quality of life.
