Robbery statistics for Asbury also show no reported incidents from 2020 to 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remained at 0, and the city's contribution to state robbery statistics was consistently 0%. This suggests that property-related violent crimes have been virtually non-existent in the community during this period.

Aggravated assault has been the only type of violent crime reported in Asbury during the examined period. In 2020, there were 4 cases of aggravated assault, which decreased to 1 case in both 2021 and 2022. This represents a 75% decrease in aggravated assaults from 2020 to 2021, with the number remaining stable in 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.76 in 2020 to 0.19 in 2021 and 0.18 in 2022, showing a significant improvement in public safety. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics also decreased from 0.07% in 2020 to 0.02% in 2021 and 2022.

There appears to be a correlation between the decreasing violent crime rate and the increasing population density. As the population density increased from 1,664 people per square mile in 2020 to 1,720 in 2022, the number of violent crimes decreased. This could suggest that the growing community has developed stronger social bonds or improved safety measures.

The racial composition of Asbury has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently representing over 90% of residents. There doesn't appear to be a strong correlation between racial distribution and violent crime trends given the limited variation in both factors.

Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's reasonable to forecast that violent crime rates in Asbury will likely remain low over the next five years (up to 2029). If the current trend continues, we might expect to see between 0 to 1 violent crimes per year, primarily in the form of aggravated assaults. However, as the population continues to grow, there may be a slight increase in the absolute number of incidents, although the per capita rate is likely to remain low.

In summary, Asbury has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in public safety, with violent crimes decreasing significantly despite population growth. The absence of murders, rapes, and robberies, coupled with the decline in aggravated assaults, paints a picture of a community that has effectively managed public safety concerns. These trends, if maintained, suggest that Asbury is likely to continue being a relatively safe place to live in the coming years.