Robbery trends have shown some fluctuation. There were 3 robberies reported in 2011, which remained stable at 3 in 2014, decreased to 2 in 2016 and 2017, spiked to 7 in 2021, and then dropped to 1 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 0.26 in 2011 to 0.07 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robberies varied, from 0.04% in 2011 to a peak of 0.14% in 2021, before dropping to 0.02% in 2022.

Aggravated assault cases have shown a significant decrease over time. In 2011, there were 35 reported cases, which declined to 12 in 2022, representing a 65.7% decrease. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents fell from 3.01 in 2011 to 0.85 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assaults also decreased from 0.27% in 2011 to 0.05% in 2022, indicating a positive trend in reducing this type of violent crime.

There appears to be a correlation between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density increased from 3,037 per square mile in 2011 to 3,672 per square mile in 2022, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the city has managed to improve public safety despite growing denser. Additionally, there seems to be a correlation between the changing racial demographics and crime rates. As the white population percentage decreased from 76% in 2013 to 63% in 2022, and the Hispanic population increased from 10% to 20% during the same period, the overall violent crime rate decreased, indicating that demographic changes have not negatively impacted public safety.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continued overall decrease in violent crimes if current trends persist. The murder rate is likely to remain at or near zero, while rape cases may fluctuate but potentially stabilize. Robbery rates are expected to remain low, possibly averaging 1-2 cases per year. Aggravated assaults may continue their downward trend, potentially reaching single digits annually by 2029.

In summary, Angier has shown a generally positive trend in reducing violent crimes over the past decade, despite population growth and demographic changes. The most significant improvements have been in aggravated assaults and maintaining a zero murder rate. However, recent fluctuations in rape cases warrant attention. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates while experiencing population growth and increased density is commendable and suggests effective law enforcement and community safety strategies.