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Violent Crime Trends in Addison, Alabama: A Decade of Fluctuations and Low Rates
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Addison, Alabama, a small community with a population of 3,040 as of 2022, has experienced fluctuations in its violent crime rates over the years. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased from 0 to 4, while the population decreased from 3,656 to 3,040, a decline of approximately 16.8%. Despite these changes, the town has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate.
Murder rates in Addison have remained consistently at zero, with no reported cases throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population decline. The murder rate per 1,000 people has remained at 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Rape incidents in Addison have been sporadic. In 2013, there was one reported case of rape, which represented 0.09% of the state's total rape cases for that year. This translates to a rate of approximately 0.26 rapes per 1,000 people based on the 2013 population. However, in all other years from 2010 to 2022, there were no reported rape cases. This isolated incident suggests that rape is not a persistent issue in the community.
Robbery trends in Addison have also remained exceptionally low. From 2010 to 2022, there were no reported robbery cases. This consistent absence of robberies, even as the population fluctuated, indicates a very safe environment in terms of this particular crime category. The robbery rate per 1,000 people has consistently been 0, and the city has not contributed to the state's robbery statistics.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent form of violent crime in Addison. In 2012, there was a notable spike with 7 reported cases, representing 0.07% of the state's aggravated assaults that year. This equates to approximately 2.07 aggravated assaults per 1,000 people based on the 2012 population. The frequency of aggravated assaults has fluctuated over the years, with 1 case in 2011, 2014, and 2016, 4 cases in 2015 and 2022, and no cases in some years. The 2022 figure of 4 aggravated assaults represents 0.04% of the state's total and a rate of about 1.32 per 1,000 people.
When examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 970 per square mile in 2010 to 807 in 2022, the number of violent crimes showed a slight increase. However, this correlation is not strong enough to suggest a causal relationship.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), based on the available data, it's projected that aggravated assault cases may continue to fluctuate between 1 to 4 cases annually. The overall violent crime rate is expected to remain relatively low, with potential spikes not exceeding 7 cases per year, assuming current trends and community characteristics persist.
In summary, Addison has maintained a relatively low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The absence of murders and robberies, coupled with only one reported rape case in 13 years, suggests a generally safe community. However, the fluctuations in aggravated assault cases warrant continued attention from local law enforcement to ensure public safety and prevent any potential escalation in violent crime rates.
