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Violent Crime Decline in Gordon, Nebraska: A Decade of Progress
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Gordon, Nebraska, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. This small city, with a population of 2,083 in 2022, has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates. Between 2012 and 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 12 to 3, representing a 75% reduction. During the same period, the population remained relatively stable, with a slight decrease of 1.2% from 2,058 in 2012 to 2,083 in 2022.
Examining the murder trends, Gordon has maintained a consistently low rate, with zero murders reported from 2012 to 2022. This stability is particularly noteworthy given the small population size, where even a single incident could significantly impact the per capita rate. The absence of murders over this period reflects positively on the city's public safety efforts.
Rape incidents in the city have shown some variability. In 2012, there were 2 reported cases, representing 0.34% of the state's total. This decreased to 1 case in 2013 (0.51% of the state's total), and further to zero cases in 2020 and 2021. However, in 2022, there was an increase to 3 reported cases, accounting for 0.35% of the state's total. This fluctuation translates to a rate that varied from 0.97 per 1,000 people in 2012 to 1.44 per 1,000 in 2022. The recent uptick in 2022 warrants attention, as it represents a significant increase in the context of the city's small population.
Robbery rates in Gordon have remained exceptionally low. From 2012 to 2019, there were no reported robberies. In 2020, a single robbery was reported, accounting for 0.19% of the state's total, but this returned to zero in 2021 and 2022. This isolated incident in 2020 resulted in a rate of 0.47 robberies per 1,000 people for that year. The overall trend suggests that robbery is not a significant concern for the city.
Aggravated assault has shown the most notable changes among violent crimes in Gordon. In 2012, there were 10 reported cases, representing 0.4% of the state's total. This number decreased to 6 cases in 2013 (0.23% of state total), and further to 5 cases in 2020 (0.18% of state total). The trend continued downward with 3 cases in 2021 (0.2% of state total), and remarkably, no cases reported in 2022. This represents a 100% decrease from 2012 to 2022. The rate per 1,000 people dropped from 4.86 in 2012 to 0 in 2022, indicating a significant improvement in this aspect of public safety.
A notable correlation exists between the decline in violent crimes and changes in the racial distribution of the city. From 2013 to 2022, the Native American population percentage increased from 11% to 14%, while the white population decreased slightly from 79% to 76%. Concurrently, the overall violent crime rate decreased. This suggests that the changing demographic composition may have influenced community dynamics and safety outcomes.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that Gordon will likely maintain its low violent crime rates over the next five years, extending to 2029. The model suggests that aggravated assaults may remain at very low levels, potentially between 0-2 cases annually. Rape incidents are predicted to stabilize at 1-2 cases per year. Robberies are expected to remain rare, with possibly one incident every few years. The murder rate is projected to remain at zero, continuing the city's long-standing trend.
In summary, Gordon has demonstrated a significant overall reduction in violent crimes from 2012 to 2022, with particularly notable improvements in aggravated assaults. The city's ability to maintain zero murders over this period is commendable. While the recent uptick in rape cases in 2022 requires vigilance, the overall trend in violent crimes remains positive. These improvements, coupled with the stable population and evolving demographic composition, suggest that Gordon has made substantial progress in enhancing public safety over the past decade.
