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Violent Crime Decline in Evergreen, Alabama: A Decade of Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Evergreen, located in Alabama, has experienced significant fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade, alongside notable changes in population. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased by 58.33%, from 36 to 15 incidents. During this same period, the city's population decreased by 10%, from 5,661 to 5,095 residents.
Murder rates in the city have shown considerable variation. In 2010, 2012, 2013, 2015, and 2016, there were no reported murders. However, the city experienced one murder each in 2011, 2014, 2017, and 2022. The murder rate per 1,000 people fluctuated accordingly, reaching its highest at 0.17 per 1,000 in 2022, up from 0 in 2010. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city also varied, peaking at 0.5% in 2014 and standing at 0.27% in 2022. These figures suggest that while murder remains a rare occurrence, its impact on the city's crime statistics can be significant when it does occur.
Rape incidents in the city have shown a declining trend. From 6 cases in 2011 (1.1 per 1,000 residents), the number decreased to 1 case in 2022 (0.2 per 1,000 residents), representing an 83.33% reduction. The city's contribution to state rape cases also decreased from 0.63% in 2011 to 0.11% in 2022. This downward trend in rape cases, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of state cases, indicates an improvement in this aspect of public safety.
Robbery incidents in the city have remained relatively stable over the years, with some fluctuations. The number of robberies decreased from 6 in 2010 to 2 in 2022, a 66.67% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.06 in 2010 to 0.39 in 2022. The city's contribution to state robbery cases fluctuated, peaking at 0.22% in 2017 and standing at 0.15% in 2022. This suggests that while robberies have decreased overall, they remain a consistent, albeit small, part of the city's crime landscape.
Aggravated assault has shown the most significant changes among violent crimes in the city. The number of cases decreased from 30 in 2010 to 11 in 2022, a 63.33% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents fell from 5.3 in 2010 to 2.16 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases also decreased from 0.5% in 2010 to 0.1% in 2022. This substantial decrease in aggravated assaults has been a major factor in the overall reduction of violent crimes in the city.
A strong correlation exists between the city's population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 286 per square mile in 2010 to 258 in 2022, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes. Additionally, there appears to be a correlation between the racial demographics and crime rates. As the percentage of Black residents increased from 63% in 2013 to 67% in 2022, there was a general decrease in violent crimes, suggesting that racial composition alone is not a determining factor in crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city could see a further reduction in violent crimes by approximately 20-25%. This would potentially bring the total number of violent crimes down to around 11-12 incidents per year.
In summary, Evergreen has experienced a significant overall decrease in violent crimes from 2010 to 2022, with notable reductions in rape and aggravated assault. While murder rates have fluctuated, they remain low. The city's changing demographics and decreasing population density appear to have influenced these crime trends. If current trends continue, the city is likely to see further reductions in violent crime rates in the coming years, potentially enhancing its appeal as a safer community.
