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Violent Crime Decline in Brookport: A Small Illinois City's Significant Safety Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Brookport, located in Illinois, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. From 2017 to 2018, the total number of violent crimes in the city decreased significantly from 4 to 1, representing a 75% reduction. During this same period, the population experienced a slight increase from 2,137 to 2,177 residents, indicating that the crime reduction occurred despite population growth.
The murder rate in Brookport remained consistently at zero for both 2017 and 2018, which is a positive indicator for public safety. With no murders reported, the city maintained a 0% contribution to the state's murder statistics. This stable trend, combined with the growing population, suggests an environment where the most severe form of violent crime is not a pressing concern for residents.
Regarding rape cases, there was a notable decrease from 1 reported case in 2017 to 0 in 2018. This change represented a 100% decrease in rape incidents. In 2017, the rape rate was approximately 0.47 per 1,000 residents, while in 2018, it dropped to 0. The city's contribution to the state's rape statistics also decreased from 0.02% to 0%, indicating an improvement in this category of violent crime relative to both the local population and state figures.
Robbery incidents in the city followed a similar trend, decreasing from 1 case in 2017 to 0 in 2018. This 100% reduction brought the robbery rate down from about 0.47 per 1,000 residents to 0. The city's share of state robbery cases also fell from 0.01% to 0%, suggesting a positive shift in public safety regarding property crimes involving force or threat.
Aggravated assault cases showed a 50% decrease, from 2 incidents in 2017 to 1 in 2018. The rate of aggravated assaults per 1,000 residents dropped from approximately 0.94 to 0.46. Despite this reduction, the city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly from 0.01% to 0.00%, indicating that this type of violent crime, while reduced, still persisted to some degree.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, a notable relationship emerges with population density. As the population density decreased from 3,273 per square mile in 2017 to 3,334 in 2018, there was a corresponding decrease in violent crimes. This suggests that the slight spreading out of the population may have contributed to the reduction in violent incidents.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029, which we'll consider as five years from now), we can anticipate a continuation of the low crime rates observed in 2018. Given the small number of incidents and the short time frame of available data, precise predictions are challenging. However, if current trends hold, we might expect to see between 0 to 2 violent crimes annually, with fluctuations possible due to the small population size.
In summary, Brookport has demonstrated a significant improvement in its violent crime situation from 2017 to 2018. The most notable discoveries include the complete elimination of murder, rape, and robbery cases, and a substantial reduction in aggravated assaults. These trends, occurring alongside a slight population increase, suggest that the city has made strides in enhancing public safety. The correlation between decreasing population density and reduced crime rates indicates that urban planning and community development strategies may play a role in maintaining these positive trends in Brookport.
