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Violent Crime Decline in Anna, Illinois: A Decade of Fluctuations and Recent Improvements
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Anna, located in Illinois, presents an intriguing case study for violent crime trends. With a population of 6,434 in 2022, this small city has experienced fluctuations in both its population and crime rates over the years. From 2012 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes decreased from 17 to 8, representing a 52.9% reduction. During the same period, the population decreased slightly from 6,593 to 6,434, a 2.4% decline.
The murder rate in the city has remained consistently low, with only two recorded incidents over the 11-year period analyzed. In 2012 and 2014, there was one murder each year, resulting in a rate of 0.15 per 1,000 residents. These incidents represented 0.15% and 0.17% of the state's total murders, respectively. Since 2015, there have been no reported murders, indicating an improvement in this most severe category of violent crime.
Rape incidents have fluctuated over the years, with the highest number (5) reported in 2014, representing a rate of 0.80 per 1,000 residents and 0.16% of the state's total. The rate decreased to 0.16 per 1,000 in 2022, with only one reported case. The percentage of state rape cases attributed to the city has generally remained below 0.1%, peaking at 0.16% in 2014 and dropping to 0.03% by 2022.
Robbery trends show sporadic occurrences, with the highest number (4) reported in 2016, equating to 0.68 per 1,000 residents and 0.02% of the state's total. In 2022, there was one robbery, resulting in a rate of 0.16 per 1,000 residents and 0.01% of state robberies. The city has experienced several years with no reported robberies, indicating that this crime is not a persistent issue.
Aggravated assault has been the most prevalent violent crime in the city. The highest number of cases (28) was reported in 2019, with a rate of 4.88 per 1,000 residents and representing 0.1% of the state's total. By 2022, this had decreased to 6 cases, or 0.93 per 1,000 residents, accounting for 0.05% of state aggravated assaults. Despite fluctuations, there's been an overall downward trend in aggravated assaults since the 2019 peak.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a relationship between population density and violent crime rates. As the population density decreased from 1,793 per square mile in 2012 to 1,749 in 2022, violent crimes also generally declined. Additionally, the city's racial composition has remained predominantly white (92% in 2022), with slight increases in diversity over time. This demographic stability may contribute to the relatively low and decreasing violent crime rates.
Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that by 2029, the city may see further reductions in violent crime. Aggravated assaults could potentially decrease to around 4-5 incidents per year, while other violent crimes may remain at their current low levels or potentially reach zero in some years.
In summary, Anna has demonstrated a generally positive trend in violent crime reduction over the past decade. The most significant improvements have been in the areas of murder and aggravated assault. While fluctuations exist, the overall trajectory suggests a safer community environment. The city's stable demographic composition and decreasing population density appear to correlate with these favorable crime trends, positioning Anna as a relatively safe small city within Illinois.
