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Vanceboro's Low Violent Crime: A Snapshot of Safety in a Growing North Carolina Town
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Vanceboro, located in North Carolina, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends. In 2013, the only year for which comprehensive violent crime data is available, the city reported a total of 2 violent crimes. This figure must be considered in the context of the town's population, which has fluctuated over the years, reaching 2,588 residents in 2022, down from 3,447 in 2013.
Examining the murder rate, Vanceboro reported zero murders in 2013, the sole year with available data. This translates to a murder rate of 0 per 1,000 residents, and notably, 0% of the state's total murders for that year. The absence of murders in a small town is not uncommon and suggests a relatively safe environment in terms of lethal violence.
Regarding robbery, the city reported 1 incident in 2013. This equates to a rate of approximately 0.29 robberies per 1,000 residents based on the 2013 population. The robbery accounted for 0.01% of the state's total robberies that year. While a single robbery in a small town is concerning, it represents a relatively low occurrence rate.
Aggravated assault data shows 1 incident in 2013, matching the robbery rate at 0.29 per 1,000 residents. This assault represented 0.01% of North Carolina's total aggravated assaults for the year. The equal number of robberies and aggravated assaults suggests a balanced distribution of these more serious non-lethal violent crimes.
When examining correlations between violent crime and other factors, the limited data makes it challenging to draw strong conclusions. However, it's worth noting that the 2013 violent crime incidents occurred when the city's population was at its peak (3,447 residents). The population density that year was also at its highest (2,010 people per square mile), which could potentially correlate with increased opportunities for violent encounters.
Predicting future trends based on a single year of data is not statistically reliable. However, if we were to cautiously extrapolate from the 2013 data, considering the population decline to 2,588 in 2022, we might expect violent crime rates to remain low or potentially decrease further by 2029. This projection assumes that lower population density correlates with reduced violent crime opportunities.
In summary, Vanceboro exhibited very low violent crime rates in 2013, with only two reported incidents. The absence of murders and the low numbers of other violent crimes suggest a relatively safe community. However, the lack of data for other years significantly limits our ability to identify trends or make confident predictions. The town's declining population since 2013 may contribute to maintaining or further reducing these already low violent crime rates, but this hypothesis would require ongoing data collection and analysis to confirm.
