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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Uptown Harrisburg's Housing Market: A Decade of Change and Growth Uptown, a vibrant neighborhood in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, has experienced significant shifts in its housing landscape over the past decade. This area has seen fluctuations in homeownership rates, average home prices, and average rent prices, reflecting broader economic trends and local market dynamics. The homeownership rate in Uptown has shown a notable trend, decreasing from 49% in 2013 to a low of 40% in 2018, before rebounding to 48% by 2022. This trend closely correlates with changes in average home prices. In 2013, the average home price was $43,930, which steadily increased to $107,439 by 2022, representing a substantial 144% increase over nine years. The most dramatic rise occurred between 2020 and 2022, with average home prices jumping from $77,835 to $107,439, a 38% increase in just two years.
Federal interest rates have played a crucial role in shaping homeownership trends in Uptown. The period from 2013 to 2015 saw historically low interest rates, hovering around 0.1%, which likely contributed to the initial stability in homeownership rates. As interest rates began to rise from 2016 onwards, reaching 1.83% in 2018, we observe a corresponding decline in homeownership percentages. The subsequent drop in interest rates to 0.08% in 2021 aligns with the rebound in homeownership rates, illustrating the inverse relationship between interest rates and homeownership.
Renter percentages in Uptown have mirrored the inverse of homeownership trends, peaking at 60% in 2018 before declining to 52% in 2022. Average rent prices have shown volatility, increasing from $842 in 2013 to $914 in 2017, then fluctuating before reaching $990 in 2022. This represents a 17.6% increase in average rent over the nine-year period. The population of Uptown has remained relatively stable, with 10,932 residents in 2013 and 11,068 in 2022, suggesting that rent price changes are more likely influenced by market forces than population pressure.
In 2023 and 2024, we see a continuation of the upward trend in average home prices in Uptown. The average home price reached $114,402 in 2023 and further increased to $119,630 in 2024, representing a 6.5% and 4.6% year-over-year growth, respectively. Concurrently, federal interest rates have significantly increased, reaching 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, which may impact future homeownership rates and market dynamics.
Looking ahead, our predictive models forecast continued growth in both average home prices and rent prices over the next five years. Average home prices are expected to maintain a steady upward trajectory, potentially reaching around $140,000 by 2029. Average rent prices are projected to follow a similar trend, possibly exceeding $1,100 per month within the same timeframe. These projections assume relative stability in economic conditions and local market factors.
In summary, Uptown has demonstrated resilience and growth in its housing market. The neighborhood has weathered fluctuations in homeownership rates, seen substantial appreciation in average home values, and experienced moderate increases in average rent prices. The interplay between federal interest rates, homeownership percentages, and housing prices underscores the complex dynamics at play in this urban housing market. As Uptown continues to evolve, these trends suggest a neighborhood poised for further growth and development in the coming years.