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Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Oakville, Washington, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the past decade, this small community has experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime count, ranging from a low of 0 incidents in 2015 to a peak of 5 in 2014. The overall trend shows a slight decrease, with 2 violent crimes reported in 2022 compared to 2 in 2010, representing no net change over the 12-year period. During this time, the population has remained relatively stable, growing from 2,109 in 2010 to 2,279 in 2022, an increase of approximately 8%.
Regarding murder and nonnegligent manslaughter, the city has maintained a consistent record of zero incidents throughout the entire period from 2010 to 2022. This statistic is particularly noteworthy given the small population size, indicating a persistently safe environment in terms of the most severe form of violent crime. The rate per 1,000 people remains at 0, and the percentage of state crime for this category is consistently 0%, suggesting that Oakville has not contributed to the state's murder statistics during this time.
Rape incidents in Oakville have been sporadic and infrequent. The city reported one case in 2013, 2018, 2019, and 2020, with no reported cases in other years. The rate per 1,000 people fluctuated between 0 and approximately 0.44 during years with reported incidents. The percentage of state rape crimes attributed to Oakville ranged from 0% to 0.08%, with the highest percentage occurring in 2013. This data suggests that while rape is not a persistent problem, it does occur occasionally, and its impact on state statistics is minimal but present in some years.
Robbery in Oakville has been rare, with only two reported incidents over the 12-year period: one in 2011 and another in 2014. The rate per 1,000 people for these years was approximately 0.44 and 0.41, respectively. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics was 0.02% in both years with reported incidents. The infrequency of robberies indicates that this form of crime is not a significant concern for the community.
Aggravated assault has shown the most variability among violent crimes in Oakville. The city experienced peaks of 4 incidents in 2014 and 3 in 2016, with several years reporting 1 or 2 incidents, and some years reporting none. The rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to approximately 1.63 (in 2014). The city's contribution to state aggravated assault statistics varied, reaching a high of 0.05% in 2014. This suggests that while aggravated assault is more common than other violent crimes in Oakville, its occurrence is still relatively low and inconsistent.
There appears to be a moderate correlation between population density and violent crime rates. Years with higher population density, such as 2014 (4,443 people per square mile) and 2016 (4,246 people per square mile), coincided with higher violent crime counts of 5 and 3 respectively. However, this correlation is not consistent across all years, indicating that other factors may also influence crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the current low and fluctuating pattern. Based on the historical data, we might expect to see between 1 to 3 violent crimes annually, with the possibility of occasional years with no reported incidents or slight spikes up to 4 or 5 incidents. However, given the small population and low baseline of crime, predictions are subject to significant variability.
In summary, Oakville demonstrates a relatively stable and low violent crime environment. The absence of murders, infrequent occurrences of rape and robbery, and fluctuating but generally low rates of aggravated assault paint a picture of a community where violent crime is not a pervasive issue. The slight correlation between population density and crime rates suggests that as the city grows, vigilance in maintaining public safety may be warranted. Overall, the violent crime trends in Oakville reflect a small community with occasional incidents but no persistent violent crime problem.