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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Santa Cruz, a coastal city in California known for its beaches and boardwalk, has experienced significant changes in its housing market. From 2017 to 2019, the city saw a decrease in homeownership rates alongside a substantial increase in average home prices. The homeownership rate declined from 46% to 40%, while average home prices rose from $912,288 to $976,065, representing a 7% increase.
This inverse relationship between homeownership rates and average home prices suggests that rising property values may have made homeownership less attainable for many residents. During this period, federal interest rates increased from 1% to 2.16%, which typically makes mortgages more expensive and can discourage homeownership. However, the decline in homeownership rates in Santa Cruz was more pronounced than what might be expected from interest rate changes alone, indicating that local factors likely played a significant role.
As homeownership declined, the percentage of renters in Santa Cruz increased from 54% in 2017 to 60% in 2019. Concurrently, average rent prices rose from $1,780 to $1,979, an 11.2% increase. This rise in both renter percentage and average rent prices suggests a growing demand for rental properties, possibly driven by the city's population of 64,605 in 2019 and the challenges of homeownership in an expensive market.
In 2023 and 2024, Santa Cruz's housing market continued to evolve. The average home price in 2023 was $1,313,047, showing a slight decrease from the previous year. However, in 2024, the average home price increased to $1,343,926. Concurrently, federal interest rates rose significantly to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, potentially impacting homebuying decisions.
Looking ahead, predictive models suggest that average home prices in Santa Cruz may continue to rise over the next five years, albeit at a more moderate pace than seen in recent years. Average rent prices are also expected to increase, driven by ongoing demand for rental properties and the city's desirable location. However, the rate of increase may slow if new housing developments or policy changes are implemented to address affordability concerns.
In summary, Santa Cruz has experienced a notable shift towards a renter-majority market, with rising average home and rent prices. The interplay between federal interest rates, local economic factors, and housing supply will continue to shape the city's real estate landscape in the coming years. The trend of increasing housing costs, coupled with high interest rates, may present ongoing challenges for potential homebuyers in Santa Cruz.