Robbery incidents have shown some fluctuation over the years. In 2010, there was 1 robbery, which increased to 7 in 2016 (the peak year), and then decreased to 2 in 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 residents peaked at 0.52 in 2016 and was at its lowest (0.08) in 2010. The city's contribution to the state's robbery statistics has remained relatively low, peaking at 0.01% in several years. This suggests that while robbery is present, it's not a major concern compared to state levels.

Aggravated assault has been the most common violent crime in San Marino. The number of incidents ranged from a low of 2 in 2014 to a high of 15 in 2013. In 2022, there were 7 aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated accordingly, peaking at 1.13 in 2013 and dropping to 0.15 in 2014. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics has consistently been between 0.01% and 0.02%, indicating that while it's the most common violent crime locally, it remains a small fraction of the state's total.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a weak inverse relationship between the Asian population percentage and violent crime rates. As the Asian population increased from 51% in 2013 to 68% in 2022, the total violent crimes generally decreased, though not consistently. Conversely, as the white population decreased from 39% to 21% over the same period, violent crimes showed a general downward trend. However, these correlations are not strong enough to imply causation, and other factors likely play significant roles in crime rates.

Applying predictive models based on the available data, it's projected that violent crime in San Marino will continue its slight downward trend over the next seven years (up to 2029). The total number of violent crimes is expected to remain in the single digits, potentially averaging around 8-10 incidents per year. However, given the low numbers and historical fluctuations, these predictions should be interpreted cautiously.

In summary, San Marino has maintained relatively low violent crime rates from 2010 to 2022, with aggravated assault being the most common offense. The city's contribution to state crime statistics has remained minimal across all categories. The absence of murders, low and sporadic rape incidents, and generally low robbery rates paint a picture of a safe community. While demographic shifts have occurred, their direct impact on crime rates is not definitively established. As San Marino looks towards the future, maintaining its low crime rates will likely remain a priority for local law enforcement and community leaders.