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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Rushford, located in Minnesota, presents an intriguing case study in property crime trends. From 2015 to 2022, the city consistently reported zero property crimes across all categories, including burglary, larceny-theft, motor vehicle theft, and arson. This remarkable statistic coincides with a period of population decline, as the city's population decreased from 196 residents in 2015 to 170 in 2022, representing a 13.3% reduction over seven years.
The consistent absence of reported burglaries from 2015 to 2022 is noteworthy. With zero incidents per 1,000 people and no contribution to the state's burglary statistics, this trend suggests an exceptionally safe environment for residents and their property. The stability of this metric, despite the population decrease, indicates a consistently secure community.
Similarly, larceny-theft incidents remained at zero throughout the observed period. This absence of reported thefts, maintaining a rate of zero per 1,000 residents and zero percent of the state's larceny-theft crimes, further reinforces the image of a community with minimal property crime concerns.
The trend for motor vehicle theft mirrors that of other property crimes, with no reported incidents from 2015 to 2022. This consistent zero rate per 1,000 residents and lack of contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics suggests a very low risk of vehicle-related crimes in the city.
Arson cases also remained at zero throughout the period, with no incidents reported per 1,000 residents and no contribution to the state's arson statistics. This consistent absence of arson cases further supports the overall trend of minimal property crime in the community.
An examination of correlations reveals interesting patterns. The consistently low crime rates coincide with a gradual increase in median income, rising from $50,294 in 2015 to $68,326 in 2022, a 35.9% increase. Simultaneously, the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 74% in 2015 to 79% in 2022. These trends suggest a potential relationship between increasing economic stability, home ownership, and the maintenance of low crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the consistent zero-crime rate. However, if current socioeconomic trends continue, including rising median incomes and stable home ownership rates, it's reasonable to predict that property crime rates will likely remain very low or at zero for the foreseeable future.
In summary, Rushford stands out as a community with exceptionally low property crime rates. The consistent absence of reported property crimes from 2015 to 2022, coupled with rising median incomes and high rates of home ownership, paints a picture of a stable, secure community. These trends suggest that the city has established and maintained effective crime prevention measures, potentially serving as a model for other small communities aiming to reduce property crime rates.