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Rosemead's Rising Violent Crime Amid Population Decline: A Decade of Trends
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Rosemead, located in California, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes in the city increased by 30.5%, from 167 to 218 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 4.4%, from 54,851 to 52,436 residents, adding complexity to the crime rate analysis.
The murder rate in Rosemead has fluctuated over the years, with no clear upward or downward trend. In 2010, there were 5 murders, representing 0.35% of the state's total. This number dropped to zero in several years (2011-2013) before stabilizing at 1 or 2 incidents per year from 2014 to 2020. By 2022, there were no reported murders. The murder rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.091 in 2010 to 0 in 2022, indicating an improvement in this specific category of violent crime relative to the population.
Rape incidents have shown a concerning upward trend. In 2010, there were 10 reported rapes (0.15% of the state's total), which increased to 21 in 2022 (0.18% of the state's total). This represents a 110% increase in rape cases over the period. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.182 in 2010 to 0.400 in 2022, a significant increase that outpaces the population decline. This trend suggests a growing issue with sexual violence in the city that warrants attention.
Robbery cases have seen a slight decrease over the years. In 2010, there were 79 robberies (0.15% of the state's total), which decreased to 77 in 2022 (0.18% of the state's total). While the absolute number decreased by 2.5%, the percentage of state crime increased, indicating that robbery rates in Rosemead may not be improving as quickly as in other parts of California. The robbery rate per 1,000 people increased slightly from 1.440 in 2010 to 1.468 in 2022, showing that despite the population decrease, robbery remains a persistent issue.
Aggravated assault cases have shown a significant increase. In 2010, there were 73 cases (0.1% of the state's total), which rose to 120 in 2022 (0.12% of the state's total). This represents a 64.4% increase in aggravated assault cases. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.331 in 2010 to 2.288 in 2022, a substantial rise that indicates a growing problem with violent confrontations in the city.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong relationship between the increase in violent crimes and changes in racial demographics. The Asian population in the city increased from 61% in 2013 to 63% in 2022, while the Hispanic population decreased slightly from 32% to 31% over the same period. This demographic shift coincides with the overall increase in violent crimes, particularly in rape and aggravated assault cases.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued increase in overall violent crimes if current trends persist. The model suggests that by 2029, Rosemead could see approximately 260-280 violent crimes annually, with aggravated assaults and rapes potentially showing the most significant increases.
In summary, Rosemead has experienced a concerning rise in violent crimes, particularly in rape and aggravated assault cases, despite a decreasing population. The shift in demographic composition appears to correlate with these crime trends. While robberies have remained relatively stable and murders have decreased, the overall violent crime situation warrants attention from local authorities and community leaders to implement effective prevention and intervention strategies.
