Robbery trends in Rockaway Beach show minimal occurrence, with only one reported incident in 2012. This single robbery represented 0.02% of the state's total robberies for that year. The robbery rate per 1,000 people in 2012 was approximately 0.33. As with rape, the isolated nature of this incident makes it challenging to identify any significant trends in robbery rates for the city.

Aggravated assault emerges as the most prevalent form of violent crime in the city. The number of aggravated assaults fluctuated over the years, with peaks of 5 incidents in 2011 and 6 incidents in 2016. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people ranged from 0 to 1.73, with the highest rate occurring in 2016. The city's contribution to the state's aggravated assault statistics varied, reaching a maximum of 0.04% in 2016. This suggests that while aggravated assault is the most common violent crime in Rockaway Beach, its impact on state-level statistics remains minimal.

Examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate positive correlation between population density and violent crime incidents. For instance, the peak in violent crimes (6 incidents) in 2016 coincided with a population density of 5,503 people per square mile, one of the highest densities recorded during this period. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between median rent and violent crime rates. As median rent increased from $430 in 2013 to $590 in 2019, there was a general upward trend in violent crime incidents, though this relationship is not consistent across all years.

Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential slight increase in overall violent crime incidents. Based on historical patterns, the model predicts that aggravated assaults may continue to be the primary form of violent crime, with an estimated average of 3-4 incidents per year. However, given the city's history of low crime rates for murder, rape, and robbery, these crimes are expected to remain infrequent or non-existent.

In conclusion, Rockaway Beach has maintained relatively low violent crime rates over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the most prevalent issue. The city's contribution to state-level crime statistics remains minimal across all categories of violent crime. While there are some correlations between population density, median rent, and violent crime incidents, these relationships are not strong enough to suggest causation. As the city continues to grow, maintaining vigilance in crime prevention strategies, particularly for aggravated assaults, will be crucial in preserving the overall safety of the community.