Robbery trends in Robertsdale have shown volatility. The number of cases reached a high of 5 in 2011 and a low of zero in 2015. In 2022, 2 robberies were reported. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.470 in 2011 and stood at 0.165 in 2022. The city's share of state robberies ranged from 0% in 2015 to 0.15% in both 2017 and 2022, suggesting an increasing proportion of state robberies occurring in the city in recent years.

Aggravated assault has shown the most significant increase among violent crimes in Robertsdale. From 11 cases in 2010, it rose to 30 cases in 2017, a 172.73% increase, before settling at 20 cases in 2022. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.087 in 2010 to 2.350 in 2017, then decreased to 1.649 in 2022. The city's percentage of state aggravated assaults grew from 0.18% in 2010 to 0.27% in 2017, indicating an increasing share of the state's assaults occurring in the city.

A correlation appears to exist between population density and violent crime rates in Robertsdale. As the population density increased from 1,464 per square mile in 2010 to 1,754 in 2022, the total number of violent crimes generally increased. However, this correlation is not perfectly linear, as evidenced by fluctuations in crime rates that don't always match population density changes.

The racial composition of Robertsdale has remained relatively stable, with the white population consistently representing the majority (84-88% from 2013 to 2022). There doesn't appear to be a strong correlation between changes in racial demographics and violent crime trends in the city.

Based on predictive models using the available data, it is forecasted that by 2029, Robertsdale may experience a slight increase in violent crimes, potentially reaching around 28-30 incidents annually. This prediction assumes a continuation of current trends and factors.

In summary, Robertsdale has experienced a complex pattern of violent crime over the past decade. While murder rates have remained exceptionally low, other categories of violent crime, particularly aggravated assault, have seen notable increases. The city's contribution to state crime totals has generally increased across categories, suggesting growing challenges in maintaining public safety relative to other areas in Alabama. However, when considering the population growth, the per capita crime rates have not increased as dramatically, indicating that the rise in absolute numbers of crimes is partially attributable to population increase.