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Rising Violent Crime Trends in Burbank: Economic Pressures and Assault Cases Surge
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Burbank, located in California, has experienced notable fluctuations in violent crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of violent crimes increased by 45.25%, from 221 to 321 incidents. During this same period, the population saw a slight increase of 0.43%, growing from 103,472 to 103,919 residents.
The murder rate in the city has remained relatively low and stable over the years. In 2010, there were no reported murders, and by 2022, there was one murder reported. This translates to a murder rate of approximately 0.0096 per 1,000 people in 2022. The percentage of state murders attributed to the city has fluctuated, reaching a peak of 0.13% in 2012 and settling at 0.06% in 2022. This suggests that while murders are infrequent, they have become a slightly more consistent occurrence in recent years.
Rape incidents have shown variability over the years. In 2010, there were 13 reported rapes, which increased to 21 in 2022, representing a 61.54% increase. The rape rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.126 in 2010 to 0.202 in 2022. The city's contribution to state rape cases fluctuated, peaking at 0.37% in 2012 and decreasing to 0.18% by 2022. This indicates that while rape incidents have increased, the city's share of state cases has generally declined.
Robbery trends show a decrease over time. In 2010, there were 98 robberies reported, which decreased to 83 in 2022, representing a 15.31% reduction. The robbery rate per 1,000 people decreased from 0.947 in 2010 to 0.799 in 2022. However, the city's percentage of state robbery cases increased from 0.19% in 2010 to 0.20% in 2022, suggesting that while local robberies decreased, they did not decrease as rapidly as the state average.
Aggravated assault cases have seen a significant increase. In 2010, there were 110 reported cases, which rose to 216 in 2022, representing a 96.36% increase. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people increased from 1.063 in 2010 to 2.079 in 2022. The city's contribution to state aggravated assault cases also increased from 0.15% in 2010 to 0.21% in 2022, indicating that the rise in aggravated assaults outpaced the state average.
There appears to be a correlation between the increase in violent crimes and the rise in median rent. From 2013 to 2022, median rent increased from $1,386 to $1,973, a 42.35% increase. During this same period, violent crimes increased by 87.72%. This suggests that economic pressures may be contributing to the rise in violent crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast violent crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued upward trend in overall violent crimes. Based on the historical data and current trends, we project that by 2029, the total number of violent crimes could reach approximately 380-400 incidents per year, representing a potential increase of 18-25% from 2022 levels.
In summary, Burbank has experienced a concerning increase in violent crimes over the past decade, particularly in aggravated assaults. While murder rates remain low, the rise in rapes and the significant increase in aggravated assaults contribute to an overall upward trend in violent crime. The correlation with rising median rents suggests that economic factors may play a role in this trend. As the city moves forward, addressing these crime trends and their potential underlying causes will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.
