Loading Content...
Rising Violent Crime in Strongsville: Suburban City Faces 181% Increase Over Decade
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Strongsville, located in Ohio, presents an intriguing case study in violent crime trends. Over the period from 2010 to 2022, the city experienced fluctuations in its total violent crime incidents, with a notable increase from 11 incidents in 2010 to 31 in 2022, representing a 181.8% rise. During this same timeframe, the population grew from 44,353 in 2010 to 46,165 in 2022, a 4.1% increase.
Examining murder trends, the city maintained a rate of zero murders per year for most of the period. However, there were two significant spikes: in 2017 with 2 murders (0.36% of state murders) and in 2022 with 3 murders (0.49% of state murders). These incidents, while rare, represent a concerning trend when they occur, especially considering the city's relatively small population. The murder rate per 1,000 people jumped from 0 to 0.065 in 2022, a significant increase for a city of this size.
Rape incidents in the city fluctuated over the years, with a peak of 7 cases in 2021 (0.21% of state rapes). The rate per 1,000 people varied, reaching a high of 0.15 in 2021. Despite these fluctuations, the percentage of state rapes remained relatively low, never exceeding 0.29% (recorded in 2012). This suggests that while rape remains a concern, the city's contribution to state-wide figures is minimal.
Robbery trends showed significant variability. The highest number of robberies was recorded in 2015 with 15 incidents (0.19% of state robberies), while 2022 saw no robberies at all. The robbery rate per 1,000 people peaked at 0.34 in 2015 and dropped to 0 in 2022. This dramatic decrease in robberies is a positive trend for the city's safety profile.
Aggravated assault cases showed the most concerning trend, with a substantial increase from 3 incidents in 2010 to 24 in 2022. The peak was in 2021 with 45 cases, representing 0.25% of state aggravated assaults. The rate per 1,000 people rose from 0.07 in 2010 to 0.52 in 2022, with a high of 0.97 in 2021. This upward trend in aggravated assaults warrants attention from local law enforcement and community leaders.
Analyzing correlations, there appears to be a moderate positive relationship between population growth and the increase in violent crimes, particularly aggravated assaults. The city's population density increased from 1,801 per square mile in 2010 to 1,874 in 2022, which coincides with the overall increase in violent crime incidents.
Racial demographics show slight changes over the years, with the white population decreasing from 89% in 2013 to 86% in 2022, while the Asian population increased from 4% to 6% during the same period. However, there doesn't appear to be a strong correlation between these demographic shifts and violent crime trends.
Applying predictive models based on the current trends, it's projected that by 2029 (five years from now), the city may see a continued increase in aggravated assaults, potentially reaching around 30-35 incidents per year. Murder rates are expected to remain low but may occur sporadically. Rape incidents are likely to fluctuate between 3-5 cases annually, while robbery rates may continue to decrease or remain very low.
In summary, Strongsville has experienced a complex evolution in its violent crime landscape from 2010 to 2022. While murder and rape incidents have remained relatively low, the significant increase in aggravated assaults presents the most pressing challenge for the community. The city's growth and changing demographics may play a role in these trends, but direct causation cannot be definitively established. As Strongsville continues to develop, focused efforts on preventing aggravated assaults and maintaining the low rates of other violent crimes will be crucial for ensuring the safety and well-being of its residents.
