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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
Johnson City, Tennessee, a vibrant city in the Appalachian Mountains, has experienced significant changes in its housing market over the past decade. Known for its natural beauty and as home to East Tennessee State University, the city has seen notable shifts in homeownership rates and housing costs, reflecting broader economic trends and local market dynamics.
From 2013 to 2022, Johnson City witnessed considerable fluctuations in homeownership rates, accompanied by a steady increase in average home prices. The homeownership rate decreased slightly from 56% in 2013 to 53% in 2022, while average home prices rose substantially from $136,082 to $242,309, marking a 78% increase over this period. This trend suggests that while home values appreciated considerably, it may have become more challenging for some residents to enter the housing market.
The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in Johnson City shows some correlation. When interest rates were at historic lows between 2013 and 2016 (ranging from 0.09% to 0.40%), homeownership rates remained relatively stable at around 56%. However, as interest rates began to rise more significantly from 2017 onwards, reaching 1.68% in 2022, homeownership rates fluctuated, ultimately settling at 53% in 2022. This pattern aligns with the general principle that lower interest rates tend to encourage homeownership due to more affordable financing options.
Renter percentages and average rent prices in Johnson City have also shown interesting trends. The renter-occupied percentage increased slightly from 44% in 2013 to 47% in 2022, while average rent rose from $640 to $913, a 43% increase. This growth in both renter occupancy and rent prices could be attributed to factors such as population growth (from 65,796 in 2013 to 71,444 in 2022) and potentially, the challenges some residents faced in transitioning to homeownership due to rising home prices.
In 2023 and 2024, Johnson City's housing market continued to evolve. Average home prices reached $261,331 in 2023 and further increased to $276,345 in 2024, representing a 14% rise over two years. Concurrently, federal interest rates climbed to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024, potentially influencing homebuying decisions and market dynamics.
Looking ahead, predictive models suggest that average home prices in Johnson City may continue to rise, potentially reaching around $310,000 by 2029. Average rent prices are also projected to increase, possibly surpassing $1,100 per month within the next five years. These forecasts assume a continuation of current economic conditions and local market trends.
In summary, Johnson City has experienced a notable increase in both home values and rent prices over the past decade, with a slight shift towards renting. The interplay between federal interest rates, local economic factors, and population growth has shaped these trends. As the city moves forward, balancing housing affordability with market growth will likely be a key consideration for both policymakers and residents.