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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
East Goshen, a neighborhood in Goshen, Indiana, has experienced significant fluctuations in homeownership rates and housing prices over the past decade. This area has seen a notable increase in owner-occupied housing, accompanied by a substantial rise in average home prices. The neighborhood's demographic makeup and housing market trends offer insights into the evolving dynamics of this community.
The homeownership rate in East Goshen has shown a remarkable upward trend, increasing from 69% in 2015 to 88% in 2022. This significant rise in homeownership coincides with a substantial increase in average home prices. In 2013, the average home price was $54,840, which steadily climbed to $135,078 by 2022, representing a 146% increase over nine years. This correlation suggests that as home values appreciated, more residents were motivated or able to transition from renting to owning.
The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in East Goshen appears to follow the general trend observed nationally. As interest rates remained relatively low from 2013 to 2021, ranging from 0.08% to 2.16%, homeownership rates in the neighborhood increased. This aligns with the principle that lower interest rates make mortgages more affordable, encouraging home buying. The sharp increase in homeownership from 81% in 2019 to 92% in 2020 coincided with a significant drop in interest rates from 2.16% to 0.38%, further supporting this correlation.
Conversely, the percentage of renters in East Goshen has decreased over time, dropping from 31% in 2015 to 12% in 2022. Despite this decline in the renter population, average rent prices have remained relatively stable. The median rent was $724 in 2014 and slightly decreased to $708 by 2022. This stability in rent prices, despite the declining renter population, could be attributed to various factors, including local housing policies or a shift in the quality of available rental properties.
Looking at the most recent data, average home prices in East Goshen continued to rise in 2023, reaching $142,416. However, there was a slight decrease to $140,959 in 2024. This recent dip coincides with higher interest rates, which rose to 5.02% in 2023 and 5.33% in 2024. These higher rates may be contributing to a cooling effect on home prices, as higher borrowing costs can reduce buyer demand.
Applying predictive models to forecast 5-year trends, it's anticipated that average home prices in East Goshen may experience moderate growth, albeit at a slower pace than observed in recent years. This projection is based on the current high interest rate environment, which typically dampens rapid price appreciation. Average rent prices are expected to remain relatively stable or see modest increases, reflecting the area's diminishing renter population and the potential for property owners to adjust rents to maintain profitability in a market with fewer renters.
In summary, East Goshen has witnessed a significant shift towards homeownership, accompanied by substantial increases in average home prices over the past decade. The neighborhood's housing market has demonstrated resilience and growth, with homeownership rates reaching impressively high levels. The recent stabilization in home prices and the potential impact of higher interest rates suggest a more balanced market moving forward, with moderate growth expected in both home values and rent prices over the next five years.