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Property Value
Percent Owner Occupied
Housing Prices
Median Rent
Population
O'Fallon, a neighborhood in St. Louis, Missouri, has experienced significant changes in its housing market over the past decade. The area has seen a notable shift in homeownership rates and housing prices, reflecting broader economic trends. From 2013 to 2022, homeownership rates in O'Fallon decreased from 46% to 38%, while average home prices increased substantially.
The relationship between federal interest rates and homeownership rates in O'Fallon demonstrates an inverse pattern. As interest rates remained low from 2013 to 2015, ranging from 0.11% to 0.13%, homeownership rates held relatively steady at around 43%. However, as interest rates began to rise from 2016 onwards, reaching 1.68% in 2022, homeownership rates declined to 38%. This trend aligns with the economic principle that lower interest rates typically encourage homeownership due to more affordable financing options.
The renter population in O'Fallon has grown correspondingly with the decline in homeownership. In 2013, 54% of residents were renters, increasing to 62% by 2022. Despite the growing renter population, average rent prices have shown some volatility. The average rent peaked at $951 in 2014, then experienced a general downward trend, reaching $755 in 2022. This decrease in average rent prices, despite the increasing renter population, could be attributed to various factors such as changes in housing stock or local economic conditions.
In 2023 and 2024, O'Fallon's housing market showed some interesting developments. The average home price in 2023 was $43,132, a decrease from the 2022 peak, possibly influenced by the sharp rise in federal interest rates to 5.02% in 2023. In 2024, there was a slight uptick in average home prices to $43,322, despite a further increase in interest rates to 5.33%. This resilience in home prices amid high interest rates suggests a complex interplay of local market factors.
Looking ahead, predictive models suggest that average home prices in O'Fallon may continue to show modest growth over the next five years, potentially reaching around $50,000 by 2029. However, this growth may be tempered by high interest rates if they persist. Average rent prices are expected to stabilize and potentially increase slightly, possibly reaching around $800-$850 by 2029, as the rental market adjusts to the ongoing demand from a predominantly renter population.
In summary, O'Fallon has experienced a shift towards a renter-majority population, with homeownership rates declining as average home prices increased. The interplay between federal interest rates, homeownership, and housing prices has been evident, with higher interest rates correlating with lower homeownership rates. Despite these changes, the neighborhood's housing market has shown resilience, with both home prices and rent prices adjusting to changing economic conditions.