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Ranburne, Alabama: Violent Crime Trends and Population Growth
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Violent Crime
Median Rent
Racial Distributions
Population
Ranburne, located in Alabama, presents an interesting case study in violent crime trends over the past decade. The total number of violent crimes in this small community has fluctuated, with 3 incidents reported in 2010, dropping to 0 in 2016, and then rising slightly to 2 in 2022. This represents a 33.33% decrease in violent crime from 2010 to 2022. During this same period, the population grew from 2,943 in 2010 to 3,177 in 2022, an increase of 7.95%.
Examining the murder rate, we find that Ranburne has maintained a consistent record of zero murders throughout the reported years (2010, 2016, and 2022). This stability in the absence of murders is particularly noteworthy given the population growth. The murder rate per 1,000 people remains at 0, and the percentage of state crime for murder is consistently 0%.
Rape statistics for Ranburne show a similar pattern to murder, with no reported cases in 2010, 2016, or 2022. The rape rate per 1,000 people is 0, and the percentage of state crime for rape is 0% across all reported years. This consistency in the absence of reported rapes is significant, especially considering the population increase over the years.
Robbery trends in Ranburne mirror those of murder and rape, with no reported incidents in 2010, 2016, or 2022. The robbery rate per 1,000 people remains at 0, and the percentage of state crime for robbery is consistently 0%. This absence of robberies, maintained over a decade despite population growth, suggests a relatively safe environment for residents and businesses.
Aggravated assault is the only category of violent crime that shows variation in Ranburne. In 2010, there were 3 reported cases, which decreased to 0 in 2016, and then rose slightly to 2 in 2022. The aggravated assault rate per 1,000 people was approximately 1.02 in 2010, 0 in 2016, and 0.63 in 2022. The percentage of state crime for aggravated assault was 0.05% in 2010, 0% in 2016, and 0.02% in 2022. This fluctuation, while small in absolute numbers, represents the entirety of violent crime in the town for the reported years.
When examining correlations between violent crime trends and other factors, we observe a potential relationship with population density. The population density increased from 1,855 people per square mile in 2010 to 2,003 in 2022. This 8% increase in density coincides with the slight uptick in aggravated assaults from 2016 to 2022, suggesting a possible correlation between population density and violent crime, specifically aggravated assaults.
Applying predictive models based on the limited data available, we can cautiously forecast that by 2029 (five years from now), Ranburne may see a slight increase in aggravated assaults if the population continues to grow at its current rate. The total number of violent crimes could potentially reach 3-4 incidents per year, primarily composed of aggravated assaults. However, murder, rape, and robbery rates are likely to remain at or very close to zero, based on historical trends.
In summary, Ranburne has maintained a remarkably low violent crime rate over the past decade, with aggravated assault being the primary concern. The town's ability to keep murder, rape, and robbery at zero despite population growth is noteworthy. However, the slight increase in aggravated assaults correlating with increased population density suggests a need for continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention strategies to maintain the overall safety of Ranburne in the coming years.
