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Demographics
Population
Median Income
Racial Distributions
Tuscarora, Pennsylvania, as of 2022, is categorized as a "Low Diversity" community. The city is predominantly white (95% of the population), with minimal representation from other racial groups. The current median income is $49,811, and the population is 1,020.
Over the past decade, Tuscarora has consistently maintained its status as a "Low Diversity" community. The white population has remained above 95% throughout most of the observed period, with only a slight decrease in recent years. There are subtle signs of increasing diversity: The Hispanic population has grown from 0% in 2015 to 3% in 2022. The Black population, previously non-existent or unreported, now comprises 1% of the population. The emergence of a "two or more races" category (1% in 2022) suggests a gradual increase in racial mixing. These changes indicate a slow trend towards slightly increased diversity, though not enough to shift the community out of the "Low Diversity" category.
The median income in Tuscarora has shown overall growth over the past decade, rising from $35,981 in 2013 to $49,811 in 2022, an increase of about 38%. This economic improvement coincides with the subtle diversification of the community. The income peaked at $53,026 in 2021 before declining slightly in 2022. The population has fluctuated over the years, reaching a high of 1,239 in 2016 before declining to 1,020 in 2022. This population decrease, coupled with the recent dip in median income, might suggest some economic challenges in the most recent years.
Tuscarora's racial homogeneity remains higher than the national average, which has seen more rapid diversification in many areas. The income growth in Tuscarora is positive, but it's unclear how it compares to national or regional trends without additional data. The recent decline in both population and income could be reflective of broader economic challenges faced by many small communities across the country.
Based on the observed trends, it's likely that Tuscarora will continue to see slow but steady diversification over the coming years. However, given the current demographics, it would take a significant shift for the community to transition out of the "Low Diversity" category in the near future. If current trends continue, we might expect to see: A continued gradual increase in Hispanic, Black, and multiracial populations. A slow decrease in the white population percentage, though likely remaining above 90% for the foreseeable future. Potential economic challenges if the recent downward trend in population and income continues.
In the long term, if these trends accelerate, Tuscarora might eventually transition towards a "Transitional Community" category, particularly if the growth in Hispanic and multiracial populations continues and begins to more significantly impact the community's overall demographic makeup. However, this transition would likely take many years at the current rate of change.