Motor vehicle theft showed an increase, rising from zero incidents in 2021 to 2 in 2022. This translates to an increase from 0 to 0.89 thefts per 1,000 residents. Despite this rise, the percentage of state crime for motor vehicle theft remained at 0.0%, suggesting that this increase was not significant in the broader state context.

Arson cases remained constant at zero for both years, with no change in the rate per 1,000 residents or percentage of state crime. This stability in arson rates is a positive indicator for community safety.

Examining correlations, there appears to be a strong inverse relationship between property crime and home ownership rates. As the percent of owner-occupied homes increased from 0.82 in 2020 to 0.9 in 2022, total property crimes decreased. Additionally, there's a notable correlation with median income, which rose from $39,479 in 2020 to $43,923 in 2022, coinciding with the decrease in property crimes.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next seven years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the current trends, burglaries are likely to remain very low or at zero, while larceny-theft may continue to show slight fluctuations but remain relatively stable. Motor vehicle theft might see a slight increase but is expected to remain low in absolute numbers.

In summary, Zavalla has shown a positive trend in property crime reduction, particularly in burglaries. The increase in home ownership and median income appears to correlate with this improvement. While motor vehicle thefts have seen a slight uptick, the overall property crime landscape in the city is improving. These trends, if sustained, suggest a safer community environment for Zavalla's residents in the coming years.