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Property Crime Trends in Wymore, Nebraska: A Decade of Significant Reduction
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Wymore, located in Nebraska, has experienced notable changes in property crime rates over the years, alongside fluctuations in its population. From 2011 to 2021, the total number of property crimes decreased significantly from 40 to 7, representing an 82.5% reduction. During this same period, the population declined from 1,666 in 2011 to 1,557 in 2021, a 6.5% decrease.
Burglary rates in the city have shown a decreasing trend over time. In 2011, there were 2 burglaries reported, which remained constant in 2012, but decreased to 1 in 2021. When considering the population, the burglary rate per 1,000 people decreased from 1.20 in 2011 to 0.64 in 2021. Interestingly, despite the overall decrease in numbers, the city's share of state burglaries increased from 0.03% in 2011 and 2012 to 0.05% in 2021. This suggests that while burglaries have decreased locally, they may have decreased at a faster rate in other parts of the state.
Larceny-theft incidents have shown the most dramatic decrease among property crimes. In 2011, there were 37 reported cases, which dropped to 20 in 2012, and further declined to just 3 in 2021. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 people fell from 22.21 in 2011 to 1.93 in 2021. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft cases also decreased significantly, from 0.11% in 2011 to 0.02% in 2021. This substantial reduction suggests a marked improvement in preventing and addressing larceny-theft within the community.
Motor vehicle theft trends have fluctuated over the years. There was 1 reported case in 2011, none in 2012, and then an increase to 3 cases in 2021. The rate per 1,000 people increased from 0.60 in 2011 to 1.93 in 2021. Notably, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts increased significantly from 0.03% in 2011 to 0.23% in 2021. This increase, particularly in the context of a declining population, suggests a need for targeted efforts to address this specific type of property crime.
Arson cases have remained consistently at zero throughout the reported years, indicating that this particular crime has not been a significant issue for the community.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density decreased from 890 people per square mile in 2011 to 831 in 2021, there was a corresponding decrease in overall property crimes. This suggests that lower population density might be associated with reduced property crime rates. Additionally, the median income increased from $39,360 in 2013 to $50,593 in 2021, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes. This positive correlation between rising median income and decreasing crime rates could indicate improved economic conditions leading to reduced property crime.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we can anticipate a continuation of the overall decreasing trend in property crimes. However, the rate of decrease may slow down, and motor vehicle thefts might remain a concern if not specifically addressed. The city could potentially see total property crimes stabilize around 5-6 incidents per year, with larceny-theft and burglary remaining low, but motor vehicle thefts potentially fluctuating between 2-4 cases annually.
In summary, Wymore has demonstrated a significant improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The substantial decrease in larceny-theft and the stable low rates of burglary are particularly noteworthy. However, the recent uptick in motor vehicle thefts presents a challenge that may require focused attention. The correlations between decreasing crime rates, rising median income, and lower population density suggest that economic improvements and demographic changes have played a role in the city's crime reduction. Moving forward, maintaining these positive trends while addressing the specific issue of motor vehicle thefts will be crucial for Wymore's continued safety and development.
