Motor vehicle theft trends showed more volatility but ultimately decreased. From 11 incidents in 2010, it dropped to 8 in 2022, a 27.3% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 1.77 to 0.99, a 44% reduction when adjusted for population growth. Interestingly, the city's share of state motor vehicle thefts fluctuated significantly, peaking at 0.27% in 2021 before falling to 0.12% in 2022. This volatility suggests that while overall numbers have decreased, the city may still be disproportionately affected by this crime type compared to other areas in the state.

Arson data for the city is limited, with only one reported incident in 2011 and zero incidents in 2021 and 2022. The lack of consistent data makes it difficult to draw meaningful conclusions about arson trends in the city.

Examining correlations between property crime and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 875 per square mile in 2010 to 1,138 in 2022, property crime rates decreased, suggesting that increased urbanization did not lead to higher crime rates in this case. The median income rose from $55,308 in 2013 to $65,699 in 2022, coinciding with the overall decrease in property crimes, potentially indicating that improved economic conditions may have contributed to reduced criminal activity.

The racial composition of the city saw some changes, with the white population decreasing from 93% in 2013 to 84% in 2022, while the black population increased from 3% to 10% over the same period. Despite these demographic shifts, property crime continued to decrease, suggesting that racial composition changes did not negatively impact crime rates in this instance.

Applying predictive models based on the observed trends, it's projected that property crime rates will continue to decrease over the next five years, potentially reaching around 40 incidents per year by 2029. This forecast assumes that current socioeconomic trends and law enforcement strategies remain consistent.

In summary, Woodstock has experienced a significant reduction in property crime rates across all categories despite substantial population growth. The most notable improvements were seen in burglary and larceny-theft rates. These positive trends, coupled with increasing median income and changing demographics, paint a picture of a community that has effectively managed its growth while enhancing public safety. As the town continues to evolve, maintaining these crime reduction strategies will be crucial for sustaining this positive trajectory.