Loading Content...
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
White Springs, located in Florida, has experienced fluctuating property crime rates alongside changes in population over the past decade. From 2010 to 2020, the total number of property crimes decreased by 52.17%, from 23 to 11 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 15.53%, from 1,755 to 1,482.5 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown significant variability. In 2010, there were 4 burglaries, which peaked at 19 in 2014, before declining to 2 in 2020. This represents a 50% decrease over the decade. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents increased from 2.28 in 2010 to 1.35 in 2020. The city's contribution to state burglaries remained relatively low, ranging from 0% to 0.03% of the state total, with the highest percentage occurring in 2014.
Larceny-theft incidents have also fluctuated. Starting at 15 cases in 2010, they reached a high of 27 in 2015, before decreasing to 8 in 2020, marking a 46.67% reduction over the decade. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 8.55 in 2010 to 5.40 in 2020. The city's share of state larceny-theft cases remained consistently low, never exceeding 0.01% of the state total.
Motor vehicle theft showed a slight decrease, from 4 incidents in 2010 to 1 in 2020, a 75% reduction. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 2.28 in 2010 to 0.67 in 2020. The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft cases varied between 0% and 0.02%, with the highest percentage in 2015 and 2017.
Arson cases were rare, with only three reported incidents over the decade – one each in 2014, 2016, and 2020. When they did occur, they represented a relatively high percentage of state arson cases, reaching 0.14% in 2020. However, the infrequency of these events makes it difficult to establish a clear trend.
Examining correlations, there appears to be a moderate inverse relationship between property crime rates and median income. As median income increased from $36,135 in 2013 to $41,136 in 2020, total property crimes decreased from 22 to 11. Additionally, there seems to be a weak positive correlation between the percentage of white residents and property crime rates. As the white population increased from 55% in 2013 to 62% in 2020, property crimes showed some fluctuation but generally decreased.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decrease in overall property crime rates. Burglaries are expected to stabilize at around 2-3 incidents per year, while larceny-theft may see a slight increase to about 10-12 cases annually. Motor vehicle theft is predicted to remain low, with 1-2 incidents per year. Arson cases are expected to remain rare and sporadic.
In summary, White Springs has experienced an overall decrease in property crime rates over the past decade, despite some fluctuations. This trend, coupled with changes in demographic and economic factors, suggests a generally improving safety profile for the city. However, ongoing monitoring and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial to maintain and further improve these positive trends in the coming years.