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Property Crime Trends in White Lake, NC: A Decade of Significant Decline
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
White Lake, located in North Carolina, has experienced significant fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2011 to 2021, the total number of property crimes decreased by 74.29%, from 70 to 18 incidents. During this same period, the population decreased by 16.69%, from 1,684 to 1,403 residents.
Burglary trends in the city have shown a notable decline over the years. In 2011, there were 11 burglaries reported, which decreased to 6 in 2021, representing a 45.45% reduction. When considering population changes, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 6.53 in 2011 to 4.28 in 2021. The city's share of state burglaries remained relatively stable, at 0.02% in both 2011 and 2021. This consistent percentage, despite the decrease in actual incidents, suggests that the city's burglary trends are largely in line with statewide patterns.
Larceny-theft incidents have shown the most dramatic decrease among property crimes. In 2011, there were 54 reported cases, which dropped to 12 in 2021, marking a 77.78% reduction. The larceny-theft rate per 1,000 residents decreased from 32.07 in 2011 to 8.55 in 2021. The city's contribution to statewide larceny-theft cases decreased from 0.04% in 2011 to 0.01% in 2021, indicating that the local reduction outpaced the statewide trend.
Motor vehicle theft in the city has shown complete elimination based on available data. In 2011, there were 5 reported cases, which decreased to 0 in 2021. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 2.97 in 2011 to 0 in 2021. The city's share of statewide motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.05% in 2011 to 0% in 2021, suggesting a significant improvement in this area compared to state trends.
Arson incidents in the city have remained consistently at zero from 2011 to 2021, with no reported cases. This stability indicates effective fire prevention and investigation measures in place.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and socioeconomic factors reveals interesting patterns. As the median income increased from $25,309 in 2014 to $58,674 in 2021, a 131.83% rise, property crimes decreased by 60.87% from 46 in 2014 to 18 in 2021. This suggests a strong inverse relationship between income levels and property crime rates. Additionally, the percentage of owner-occupied housing increased from 68% in 2014 to 74% in 2021, coinciding with the decrease in property crimes, indicating that higher home ownership rates may contribute to lower crime rates.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued decrease in overall property crime rates. Based on the consistent downward trend observed from 2011 to 2021, it is projected that the total number of property crimes could potentially decrease by another 30-40% by 2029, reaching approximately 11-13 incidents annually. However, this projection assumes that current socioeconomic trends and crime prevention measures remain consistent.
In summary, White Lake has demonstrated a significant improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The substantial decreases in burglary, larceny-theft, and motor vehicle theft, coupled with the absence of arson incidents, reflect positively on the city's safety measures. The strong correlation between rising median incomes, increased home ownership, and declining crime rates suggests that economic development and community stability play crucial roles in crime reduction. These trends position the city favorably for continued improvement in public safety and quality of life for its residents in the coming years.
