Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively stable, with some fluctuations. There were 7 cases in 2010, dropping to a low of 2 in 2011 and 2012, before rising again to 6 in 2022. The rate per 1,000 residents decreased slightly from 1.89 in 2010 to 1.37 in 2022. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts decreased from 0.11% to 0.04% over this period, suggesting that while local rates have remained fairly constant, the city has become a smaller contributor to statewide vehicle theft.

Arson cases in the city have been rare, with only two reported incidents over the 13-year period: one in 2019 and one in 2022. This infrequency makes it difficult to establish meaningful trends or rates. However, it's worth noting that these incidents represented 0.26% and 0.19% of state arson cases in their respective years, indicating that arson is not a significant concern for the city.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. There appears to be a moderate positive correlation between the increase in property crimes and the rise in median income, which grew from $74,840 in 2013 to $87,866 in 2022. This could suggest that as the city became more affluent, it may have become a more attractive target for property crimes. Additionally, there's a weak negative correlation between the percentage of owner-occupied housing (which decreased from 60% in 2013 to 57% in 2022) and property crime rates, possibly indicating that a higher proportion of renters might be associated with slightly increased property crime.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a potential continuation of the overall upward trend in total property crimes. Based on historical data and current trajectories, we might expect to see total property crimes reach approximately 150-160 incidents per year by 2029. However, this prediction should be interpreted cautiously, as local policies, economic conditions, and demographic shifts can significantly influence crime rates.

In summary, Wayzata has experienced a complex evolution of property crime patterns over the past decade. While burglaries have decreased, larceny-thefts have risen significantly, and motor vehicle thefts have remained relatively stable. The city's growing affluence appears to have some correlation with increased property crime rates, suggesting a need for targeted prevention strategies. As the community continues to grow and change, local authorities may need to adapt their approaches to maintain public safety and address the specific challenges posed by different types of property crimes.