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Property Crime Trends in Waverly, Kansas: A Case of Minimal Incidents
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Loading Content...
Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Waverly, located in Kansas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. Over the period from 2011 to 2019, the total number of reported property crimes fluctuated minimally, with a peak of 2 incidents in both 2011 and 2012, followed by a complete absence of reported property crimes in 2013 and 2019. This represents a 100% decrease in property crime over the observed period. Concurrently, the population experienced a slight decline, decreasing from 1,075 in 2011 to 996 in 2019, a reduction of approximately 7.35%.
Examining burglary trends, we observe a sporadic pattern. In 2011, there were no reported burglaries. However, in 2012, the city experienced 2 burglary incidents, which accounted for 0.01% of the state's total burglaries. This spike equates to a rate of approximately 1.91 burglaries per 1,000 residents. Interestingly, in 2013 and 2019, burglary incidents dropped back to zero. This fluctuation suggests that burglary is not a persistent issue in the city, but rather an occasional occurrence.
Larceny-theft trends show a different pattern. In 2011, there were 2 reported larceny-theft incidents, equating to a rate of about 1.86 per 1,000 residents. However, from 2012 onwards, including 2013 and 2019, no larceny-theft incidents were reported. This represents a 100% decrease in larceny-theft over the observed period. The percentage of state larceny-theft remained at 0% throughout, indicating that these incidents had a negligible impact on state-wide statistics.
Motor vehicle theft and arson both maintained a consistent trend of zero reported incidents throughout the observed period from 2011 to 2019. This stability suggests that these types of property crimes are not significant issues for the community, with the city contributing 0% to the state's totals for both categories.
When examining correlations between property crime trends and other socioeconomic factors, we find a noteworthy relationship with median income. As the median income increased from $43,540 in 2013 to $51,723 in 2019, a rise of approximately 18.8%, the property crime rate decreased to zero. This suggests a potential inverse relationship between income levels and property crime rates in the city.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) is challenging due to the limited and sporadic nature of the data. However, based on the observed trends of zero reported property crimes in recent years and the increasing median income, it's reasonable to project that property crime rates will likely remain very low or at zero for the foreseeable future, barring any significant socioeconomic changes in the community.
In conclusion, Waverly demonstrates a remarkably low and decreasing trend in property crimes. The sporadic nature of burglary and larceny-theft incidents, coupled with the complete absence of motor vehicle theft and arson, paints a picture of a community with minimal property crime concerns. The inverse relationship between rising median income and declining property crime rates suggests that continued economic growth could further reinforce this positive trend in community safety.
