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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Wallis, located in Texas, presents an interesting case study in property crime trends. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes fluctuated, starting at 14 in 2010 and ending at 10 in 2022, representing a 28.57% decrease. During this same period, the population grew from 1,987 in 2010 to 2,276 in 2022, a 14.54% increase.
Burglary trends in the city show significant variability over time. In 2010, there were 9 burglaries, which decreased to 4 by 2022, a 55.56% reduction. When adjusted for population, the burglary rate per 1,000 residents fell from 4.53 in 2010 to 1.76 in 2022. The city's contribution to state burglary statistics remained minimal, consistently at or below 0.01% throughout the period. This substantial decrease in burglaries, both in absolute numbers and per capita, suggests improved security measures or changing criminal patterns within the community.
Larceny theft, the most common property crime in the city, displayed fluctuations but an overall downward trend. From 5 incidents in 2010, it rose to a peak of 17 in 2014 before declining to 6 in 2022, representing a 20% increase over the entire period. The rate per 1,000 residents changed from 2.52 in 2010 to 2.64 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny theft remained consistently at 0%, indicating that these crimes had a negligible impact on statewide statistics. The relatively stable rate of larceny theft suggests that while the population grew, the incidence of this crime did not increase proportionally.
Motor vehicle theft in the city remained low throughout the period, with 0 incidents in 2010 and 2022, and a maximum of 3 incidents in 2013 and 2020. The rate per 1,000 residents never exceeded 1.28 (in 2013). The city's contribution to state motor vehicle theft statistics was consistently at 0%, except for 2013 when it reached 0.01%. These low numbers indicate that motor vehicle theft is not a significant concern for the community, possibly due to effective preventive measures or the city's characteristics.
Arson cases were extremely rare in Wallis, with only two reported incidents over the 13-year period - one in 2013 and one in 2021. This translates to a rate of 0.43 per 1,000 residents in 2013 and 0.41 in 2021. Despite the low numbers, these incidents represented 0.03% and 0.04% of state arson cases in their respective years, which is notable given the city's small size. The rarity of arson cases suggests that fire safety measures and community vigilance may be effective in preventing such incidents.
A strong correlation exists between property crime trends and population density. As the population density increased from 1,328 per square mile in 2010 to 1,521 in 2022, property crimes initially rose but then declined, suggesting that other factors beyond population growth influenced crime rates. There's also a noticeable correlation between declining property crime rates and decreasing median income, which fell from $52,179 in 2013 to $42,220 in 2022. This counterintuitive relationship might indicate that community-based crime prevention efforts have been effective despite economic challenges.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Burglaries are expected to stabilize at around 3-4 incidents per year, while larceny theft may fluctuate between 5-7 cases annually. Motor vehicle theft is likely to remain rare, with 0-1 incidents per year. Arson is projected to remain an isolated occurrence, with the possibility of one incident every 5-7 years.
In summary, Wallis has experienced a general decline in property crime rates despite population growth, with significant reductions in burglaries and relatively stable rates of larceny theft. The city's contribution to state crime statistics remains minimal across all categories. The inverse relationship between declining income and decreasing crime rates suggests that community factors beyond economic conditions play a crucial role in maintaining public safety. These trends indicate that Wallis has made strides in creating a safer environment for its residents, potentially through effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement in crime prevention.