Motor vehicle theft rates remained relatively stable over the decade. There were 14 incidents in 2010, which increased slightly to 16 in 2020. However, when accounting for population growth, the rate per 1,000 residents actually decreased from 0.52 in 2010 to 0.51 in 2020, a marginal 1.92% reduction. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts remained low but increased slightly from 0.06% to 0.07% over the decade.

Arson cases in the city fluctuated over the years but showed an overall increase. From a single reported case in 2010, the number rose to 5 in 2020. This resulted in an increase in the arson rate per 1,000 residents from 0.04 in 2010 to 0.16 in 2020, a 300% increase. The city's share of state arson cases also increased dramatically from 0.09% to 0.68%, indicating a significant rise relative to state trends.

Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. As the population density increased from 1,663 per square mile in 2010 to 1,932 per square mile in 2020, property crime rates generally decreased, suggesting that increased urbanization did not lead to higher crime rates in this case. Additionally, the rise in median income from $55,741 in 2013 to $70,264 in 2020 coincided with the overall decline in property crimes, potentially indicating that improved economic conditions contributed to reduced crime rates.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continuation of the overall declining trend in property crimes. Burglary and larceny-theft rates are expected to continue their downward trajectory, albeit at a slower pace. Motor vehicle theft rates are projected to remain relatively stable, while arson cases may continue to fluctuate but are likely to stabilize at a slightly higher level than the historical average.

In summary, Venice has demonstrated a commendable improvement in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. This positive trend, occurring alongside population growth and economic improvement, suggests effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. However, the slight increase in motor vehicle thefts and the more significant rise in arson cases warrant continued attention. As the city continues to grow and evolve, maintaining focus on these areas while building upon the successes in reducing other property crimes will be crucial for ensuring the continued safety and well-being of its residents.