Motor vehicle theft in the city has remained relatively low throughout the decade. In 2010, there was 1 reported case, representing 0.01% of the state's total. By 2020, this number remained at 1, but now accounted for 0.01% of the state's total. The rate per 1,000 residents fluctuated minimally, from 0.73 in 2010 to 0.76 in 2020, indicating a relatively stable situation despite population changes.

Arson incidents in Trezevant have been sporadic and infrequent. Only two years in the dataset show arson occurrences: 2011 and 2018, each with 1 incident. These represented 0.14% and 0.20% of the state's total respectively. The arson rate per 1,000 residents was 0.67 in 2011 and 0.70 in 2018. The rarity of these events makes it challenging to establish a clear trend, but it suggests that arson is not a persistent problem in the city.

There appears to be a moderate correlation between property crime trends and population density. As the population density decreased from 966 per square mile in 2010 to 931 per square mile in 2020, the overall property crime rate also showed a declining trend. Additionally, there seems to be a weak inverse correlation between median income and property crime rates. As the median income increased from $30,833 in 2013 to $48,053 in 2020, property crime rates generally declined.

Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029), we anticipate a continued gradual decline in overall property crime rates. Based on the historical data and current trends, we project that by 2029, the total number of property crimes could decrease to approximately 1-2 incidents per year, with burglary and larceny-theft potentially reaching near-zero levels. However, sporadic incidents of motor vehicle theft may persist at very low levels.

In summary, Trezevant has seen a significant overall reduction in property crime rates over the past decade, particularly in burglary and larceny-theft. This positive trend, coupled with increases in median income and relatively stable population figures, suggests an improving quality of life for residents. The city's ability to maintain low crime rates, especially in the face of demographic changes, indicates effective law enforcement strategies and community engagement. As Trezevant moves forward, continued vigilance and community-based crime prevention efforts will be crucial in sustaining and further improving these positive trends.