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Property Crime Trends in Trenton, Illinois: A Decade of Significant Improvement
CATEGORY
Crime
DATA
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
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Crime
Property Crime
Percent Owner Occupied
Median Income
Population
Trenton, Illinois, a small community of approximately 2,790 residents as of 2022, has experienced notable fluctuations in property crime rates over the past decade. From 2010 to 2022, the total number of property crimes decreased from 22 to 2, representing a significant 90.9% reduction. During this same period, the population remained relatively stable, with a slight decrease of 0.89% from 2,815 in 2010 to 2,790 in 2022.
Burglary trends in the city have shown considerable variation. In 2010, there were no reported burglaries, but by 2017, this number had increased to 3 incidents. The peak was reached in 2020 with 7 burglaries, representing a rate of 2.51 per 1,000 residents. However, by 2022, burglaries had dropped back to zero. The city's share of state burglaries fluctuated, peaking at 0.03% in 2020 before returning to 0% in 2022. This volatility suggests that while burglary is not a persistent problem, it can spike occasionally, potentially impacting residents' sense of security.
Larceny-theft has been the most prevalent property crime in the city. In 2010, there were 22 incidents, which decreased to 14 in 2017, and further to 2 in 2022. This represents a substantial 90.9% reduction over the 12-year period. The rate per 1,000 residents dropped from 7.82 in 2010 to 0.72 in 2022. The city's contribution to state larceny-theft figures also decreased from 0.01% in 2010 to 0% in 2022, indicating that the city has become increasingly less significant in terms of state-wide larceny-theft statistics.
Motor vehicle theft has been relatively rare in the city. There were no reported incidents in 2010, 2017, 2019, and 2022. The highest number recorded was 3 in 2018, equating to a rate of 1.10 per 1,000 residents. The city's share of state motor vehicle thefts peaked at 0.02% in 2018 but returned to 0% in most other years. This suggests that motor vehicle theft is not a persistent concern for the community.
Arson incidents have been consistently absent from the city's crime statistics, with zero reported cases from 2010 to 2022. This absence indicates that arson is not a significant issue for the community and has not contributed to the state's arson statistics during this period.
Examining correlations between property crime trends and demographic factors reveals some interesting patterns. The city has maintained a high percentage of white residents, increasing from 96% in 2013 to 97% in 2022. This racial homogeneity coincides with the overall decrease in property crimes, suggesting a possible correlation between community stability and reduced crime rates. Additionally, the median income rose from $60,411 in 2013 to $61,745 in 2022, a modest 2.2% increase. This slight economic improvement may have contributed to the reduction in property crimes, particularly larceny-theft.
Applying predictive models to forecast property crime trends for the next five years (up to 2029) suggests a continued low level of property crimes. Based on the sharp decline observed from 2010 to 2022, it's reasonable to project that the city will maintain its low crime rates, with potentially fewer than 5 total property crimes annually. However, given the small population size, even minor fluctuations could result in noticeable percentage changes.
In summary, Trenton has demonstrated a remarkable improvement in its property crime situation over the past decade. The significant reduction in larceny-theft, the sporadic nature of burglaries and motor vehicle thefts, and the absence of arson all point to a community that has become safer and more secure. These trends, coupled with stable demographics and modest economic growth, suggest that the city is likely to maintain its low crime rates in the coming years, barring any significant socioeconomic changes.
